Prediction for match Stuttgart — Bayer Leverkusen

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Bundesliga on May 9, Stuttgart will face Bayer Leverkusen. The odds for a Stuttgart win are 2.23, for a Bayer win 3.06, and a draw is priced at 4.16. The probability distribution suggests a 44.15% chance of a Stuttgart victory, a 23.67% chance of a draw, and a 32.18% chance of a Bayer win. While Stuttgart is slightly favored, Bayer Leverkusen is certainly capable of putting up a fight. The betting lines also feature odds for total goals and both teams to score, indicating expectations for an entertaining match.

Team Results and Statistics

Stuttgart's recent form includes a 3-3 draw with Hoffenheim on May 2, a 1-1 draw with Werder on April 26, and a 2-1 win over Freiburg on April 23. Bayer Leverkusen's last three games resulted in a 4-1 win over RB Leipzig on May 2, a 2-1 victory against Cologne on April 25, and a 0-2 loss to Bayern Munich on April 22. On average over the last five matches, Stuttgart holds 57.2% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Bayer averages 55.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 6.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 10, Bayer lost to Stuttgart 1-4.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Stuttgart vs. Bayer

Over their last five games, Stuttgart averages a total of 4.2 goals per match, while Bayer averages 2.8. Stuttgart scores 2.4 and concedes 1.8 on average, while Bayer scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2. Regarding over 2.5 goals bets: Stuttgart had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Bayer in 3 out of 5. In terms of halves, Stuttgart saw over 1.5 goals in both halves in three out of five matches, Bayer in two out of five. Stuttgart most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (29%), while Bayer scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). As for goals conceded, Stuttgart is most vulnerable between the 16th and 30th minutes (57%), Bayer in the last 15 minutes (38%). Given the high scoring averages for both teams and consistent over 2.5 goal outcomes, betting on over 3.5 goals seems justified. The odds for this are 1.91.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Stuttgart averages 7.4 corners over five matches, Bayer 6.4. For over 9.5 corners: Stuttgart had over 9.5 in 4 out of 5 games, Bayer in 3 out of 5. The closest average total is 13.5, but there are also options for 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. Stuttgart is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.70. Based on the statistics, expecting at least 10-11 corners is reasonable, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical.