Prediction for match Audax Italiano — Vasco da Gama

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Sudamericana tournament on May 6, Audax Italiano will face Vasco da Gama. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Vasco da Gama is priced at 2.26, a draw at 3.16, and a win for Audax Italiano at 3.18. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 41.22% for a Vasco da Gama win, 29.48% for a draw, and 29.30% for an Audax Italiano win. A Vasco da Gama victory is seen as the most likely outcome by the bookmakers, although the gap between the teams is minimal, highlighting the competitive nature of this clash. Additional markets for totals and both teams to score also present interesting values, but the main focus is on goal-scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Audax Italiano played as follows: 29.04.2026 - Barracas Central - Audax Italiano - 1-1, 25.04.2026 - Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache - 2-2, 20.04.2026 - Huachipato - Audax Italiano - 3-2. Vasco da Gama's last three results are: 03.05.2026 - Flamengo - Vasco da Gama - 2-2, 30.04.2026 - Vasco da Gama - Olimpia - 3-0, 26.04.2026 - Corinthians - Vasco da Gama - 1-0. In their head-to-head on 15.04.2026, Vasco da Gama lost to Audax Italiano 1-2. Over a five-match span, Audax Italiano has an average possession of 53.8%, yellow cards - 3, fouls - 9.8, offsides - 1.6. Vasco da Gama's stats show 55.4% possession, yellow cards - 2, fouls - 12.4, offsides - 0.8. These figures indicate that both teams are active in attack and do not shy away from physical play.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Audax Italiano vs Vasco da Gama Match

In a series of five matches, Audax Italiano has an average of 4.2 goals per game, while Vasco da Gama averages 2.6. In terms of goals scored: Audax Italiano - 2, Vasco da Gama - 1.8. Goals conceded: Audax Italiano - 2.2, Vasco da Gama - 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: 4 out of 5 games for Audax Italiano ended with three or more goals, and 3 out of 5 for Vasco da Gama. In the first half, Audax Italiano had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, Vasco da Gama had none. In the second half, all 5 games for Audax Italiano were high-scoring (over 1.5), and 4 out of 5 for Vasco da Gama. Goal intervals: Audax Italiano most frequently scores between 31-45 (30%) and 46-60 (30%), Vasco da Gama - 46-60 (38%). Goals conceded: Audax Italiano - 31-45 (33%), Vasco da Gama - 76-90 (40%). These stats suggest a high probability of a goal-rich match, especially in the second half. Based on frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes and high goal averages, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.19 seems logical.

Corner Bets

Audax Italiano averages 3.2 corners, Vasco da Gama - 6 over a five-match period. For over 9.5 corners: only 1 out of 5 for Audax Italiano, but 4 out of 5 for Vasco da Gama. The line is set at 9.5 corners: over 9.5 - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. These data show Vasco da Gama consistently delivers many corners, and the combined average for both teams is close to 9.2 per game. In this scenario, considering over 9.5 corners is logical, given Vasco da Gama's frequent occurrences. It's also worth noting that Vasco da Gama generally earns more corners, which could impact the match dynamics.