Prediction for match Deportivo Recoleta — Santos

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Sudamericana tournament on May 6, Deportivo Recoleta will face Santos. According to the bookmakers, Santos is the clear favorite with odds of 1.49, giving them a 62.52% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.90 (23.88%), while a victory for Deportivo Recoleta is at 6.85 (13.60%). This reflects the difference in class and current form between the teams. Additionally, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.81, and "both teams to score: yes" is at 1.89, highlighting the expectation of an entertaining and goal-filled encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Deportivo Recoleta recorded the following results: on May 3, they beat Cerro Porteño 2-1; on April 29, they drew 0-0 with Deportivo Cuenca; on April 24, they lost 2-1 to Nacional Asuncion. On April 18, Deportivo Recoleta defeated 2 de Mayo 5-0, and on April 15, they drew 1-1 with Santos. During the same period, Santos played the following matches: on May 2, they drew 1-1 with Palmeiras; on April 28, they drew 1-1 with San Lorenzo; on April 25, they drew 2-2 with Bahia; on April 22, they drew 0-0 with Coritiba; and on April 19, they lost 3-2 to Fluminense. In their head-to-head meeting on April 15, the teams drew 1-1. Over the last five matches, Deportivo Recoleta averaged 44% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Santos averaged 47.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These stats indicate a competitive and disciplined battle from both sides.

Goals by Match Statistics

Both teams have shown decent scoring capabilities in their last five matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per match for both Deportivo Recoleta and Santos. Deportivo Recoleta scores an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 0.8. Santos averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Deportivo Recoleta has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Santos has 2 out of 5. In terms of halves, Deportivo Recoleta has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 matches, and the same in the second half. Santos has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Deportivo Recoleta most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Santos often scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Deportivo Recoleta has an even distribution across the first half (33% each interval), while Santos concedes 43% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minutes. These stats confirm that both teams are capable of creating and converting chances, while Santos' defense can be vulnerable. With these figures, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems justified, considering the regularity of this total being surpassed and the average scoring stats.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding corners, Deportivo Recoleta averages 3.2 per match, while Santos averages 4.8. In their last five matches, Deportivo Recoleta has seen over 9.5 corners once, and Santos three times. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.79, while under 8.5 is 1.95. This is close to the combined average of both teams' corners (8.0). Santos is favored for more corners with odds of 1.60. Recent match statistics show that Santos tends to play with a higher number of corners, while Deportivo Recoleta plays with fewer, which could impact the total corners. A logical bet would be on over 8.5 corners, considering Santos' attacking activity and tendency to earn set pieces.