Prediction for match Deportivo Cuenca — San Lorenzo

Match Analysis: Deportivo Cuenca vs San Lorenzo

On May 6th, in the Sudamericana, Deportivo Cuenca will face San Lorenzo. The odds for a Deportivo Cuenca win are 2.43, for San Lorenzo - 2.79, and for a draw - 3.24. The probability percentages are: Deportivo Cuenca - 38.15%, San Lorenzo - 33.23%, draw - 28.62%. These figures suggest that Deportivo Cuenca is slightly favored, but the gap between the teams is minimal, promising a closely contested match. Interestingly, the odds for a double chance Draw/Away (draw or San Lorenzo) are 1.50, reflecting bookmakers' cautious outlook on the outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Deportivo Cuenca played as follows: on May 2nd - Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario - 2-1, on April 29th - Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca - 0-0, on April 25th - Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca - 4-1. For San Lorenzo, the last three results are: on May 2nd - San Lorenzo vs Independiente - 1-2, on April 28th - San Lorenzo vs Santos - 1-1, on April 25th - Platense vs San Lorenzo - 0-1. In their head-to-head meeting on April 17th, San Lorenzo defeated Deportivo Cuenca 2-0. Over a five-match span, Deportivo Cuenca averages 45.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. San Lorenzo maintains 51.4% possession, records 1.6 yellows, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. These stats show that San Lorenzo has slightly better ball control, but both teams are similar in terms of discipline and fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Deportivo Cuenca vs San Lorenzo

In the last five matches, Deportivo Cuenca's over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, under 2.5 goals - 2 times. For San Lorenzo, over 2.5 goals happened only once, under 2.5 goals - 4 times. The average goal count in Deportivo Cuenca matches is 2.6, and for San Lorenzo - 1.6. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game, but Deportivo Cuenca concedes 1.6, while San Lorenzo concedes 0.6. By halves, Deportivo Cuenca had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second half out of five games. San Lorenzo only had over 1.5 goals once in each half. In terms of scoring intervals, Deportivo Cuenca most frequently scores between minutes 61-75 (29%), whereas San Lorenzo does so in the same interval but with a significantly higher share (75%). In terms of goals conceded, Deportivo Cuenca is most vulnerable between minutes 31-45 (50%), and San Lorenzo between minutes 16-30 (50%). Given San Lorenzo's low scoring and Deportivo Cuenca's average conceding rate, a bet on Draw/Away (draw or San Lorenzo) at 1.50 seems reasonable, as neither team shows a strong over-profile in goals, and San Lorenzo consistently concedes few goals.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Deportivo Cuenca averages 2.8 corners per game over a five-match series, while San Lorenzo averages 4.6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Deportivo Cuenca had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, and San Lorenzo had 2 out of 5. Looking at the odds, the total over 8.5 corners is at 1.88, under 8.5 at 1.86. Additionally, the total over 9.5 is at 2.41 and under 9.5 at 1.50. For the outcome on corners, Deportivo Cuenca is favored with odds of 1.62. Overall, considering the teams' average stats, it's logical to consider a total corners bet in the range of 8-9, as well as Deportivo Cuenca's advantage in corner kicks.