Prediction for match Al Khaleej — Al-Najma

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The clash between Al Khaleej and Al-Najma in the Saudi Pro League is scheduled for 28.04.2026. The odds favor Al Khaleej significantly: their victory is priced at 1.45, a draw at 4.64, and an Al-Najma win at 6.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al Khaleej - 64.51%, draw - 20.16%, Al-Najma - 15.33%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.55, while under 2.5 is at 2.37, indicating high expectations for a high-scoring game. Both teams to score odds are: yes - 1.67, no - 2.06, highlighting an emphasis on attacking football.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al Khaleej lost to Al Fateh 0-1, drew with Al Khulood 2-2, and were defeated by Al Nassr 0-5. Al-Najma lost 1-2 to Al Taawon, won 2-1 against Neom, and lost 2-5 to Al Nassr in their three recent games. Over the last five matches, Al Khaleej averages: 52.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 4.4 offsides. Al-Najma averages 37.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 02.01.2026, the teams drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Al Khaleej had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Al-Najma had it in all 5. On average, Al Khaleej's games see 2.8 goals, while Al-Najma's see 4.2. Al Khaleej scores 0.8 and concedes 2 on average, whereas Al-Najma scores 1.2 and concedes 3. By halves, Al Khaleej had more than 1.5 goals in the first half only once in 5 games, and twice in the second half. Al-Najma had more than 1.5 goals in the first half once in 5 games, and in the second half in all 5. Al Khaleej frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), while conceding mostly in the final minutes (76th-90th - 38%). Al-Najma peaks in scoring in the 76th-90th minutes (38%) but concedes evenly in the second half: 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes at 25% each. Overall, the data suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. Over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice, considering the frequency of overs and the average goals per game for both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Al Khaleej averages 4.4 corners per match, and Al-Najma averages 4. In the last five games, over 9.5 corners occurred twice for Al Khaleej and three times for Al-Najma. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.67, and under 9.5 is 2.03. Al Khaleej is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.40. Both teams are capable of generating a fair number of set-pieces, and the selected total is close to their average figures. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given the frequency of overs and average corner deliveries.