Prediction for match Neom — Al Hazm

Match Analysis: Neom vs Al Hazm

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League, Neom and Al Hazm will face off on April 28. Bookmakers have marked Neom as the favorites, offering odds of 1.65 for their victory, 4.00 for a draw, and 4.67 for Al Hazm to win. Based on probability percentages, Neom has a 56.63% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.36%, and Al Hazm stands at 20.01%. Among the goal totals, the line over 2.5 goals is of particular interest at 1.66, with both teams to score at 1.65. These odds suggest an expectation of a high-scoring game with chances for goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Neom played as follows: 11.04.2026 - Al Najma 2-1 Neom, 08.04.2026 - Al Ittihad 3-4 Neom, 04.04.2026 - Neom 1-0 Al Fayha. During the same period, Al Hazm recorded the following results: 24.04.2026 - Al Hazm 2-1 Al Riyadh, 11.04.2026 - Al Hazm 2-0 Al Fayha, 03.04.2026 - Al Ittihad 1-0 Al Hazm. On average, over the last five games, Neom maintains 53% ball possession, with 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside per match. Al Hazm has 45.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and also 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on 04.01.2026, Al Hazm lost to Neom 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Neom has an average total of 3.2 goals, while Al Hazm averages 2.4. In terms of goals scored: Neom - 1.6, Al Hazm - 1.4, and conceded - 1.6 and 1 respectively. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches: Neom had three overs, and Al Hazm also had three. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for each team, while in the second half, it happened three times out of five. This indicates more activity after the break. For goal intervals: Neom most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (33%), while Al Hazm scores in two periods: from the 46th to 60th and from the 76th to 90th minutes (30% each). Neom most frequently concedes in the second half: 29% from the 46th to 60th and 29% from the 76th to 90th minutes. Al Hazm most frequently concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 67%). This profile indicates a tendency for both teams to be productive, especially in the second half. With average goal figures and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Neom averages 6.6 corners per game, while Al Hazm averages 5.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Neom has 2 out of 5 matches, Al Hazm has 4 out of 5. The nearest line for total average corners is 12.5, but there is a market for over 9.5 corners: over 9.5 - 1.75, under 9.5 - 1.92. Neom is favored in corners with odds of 1.48. Based on average values and the frequency of higher totals for Al Hazm, betting on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable. Overall, both teams tend to play actively on the flanks, leading to a high number of corner kicks.