Prediction for match Al Shabab — Al Fateh

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League match between Al Shabab and Al Fateh, scheduled for 28.04.2026, bookmakers have set the following odds for the main outcomes: Al Shabab win at 1.75, draw at 4.03, and Al Fateh win at 3.98. Based on probabilities, Al Shabab has a 53.36% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.17%, and Al Fateh has a 23.46% chance. Therefore, Al Shabab is seen as the favorite, with a significant probability gap between the teams. These figures reflect Al Shabab's advantage according to analysts and bookmakers ahead of the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Al Shabab shows an average ball possession of 51%, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Al Fateh has 49.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three games, Al Shabab played as follows: 14.04.2026 - Al Qadisiyah - Al Shabab 2-2, 05.04.2026 - Al Riyadh - Al Shabab 1-1, 14.03.2026 - Al Shabab - Al Akhdoud 2-0. Al Fateh's last three matches were: 24.04.2026 - Al Fateh - Al Khaleej 1-0, 05.04.2026 - Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh 1-0, 14.03.2026 - Al Fateh - Al Hilal 0-1. The last meeting between these teams was on 03.01.2026, ending in a 2-0 victory for Al Fateh.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Al Shabab averages 3.6 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring and conceding 1.8 each. Al Fateh's average is significantly lower at 2 goals per match, with 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Al Shabab hit the mark in 2 out of 5, while Al Fateh did so in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Al Shabab had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while Al Fateh had none. In the second half, Al Shabab again stands out with 3 out of 5 over 1.5, compared to Al Fateh's 1 out of 5. Al Shabab frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute marks (22% each), while Al Fateh scores in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each). In terms of goals conceded, Al Shabab is most vulnerable between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute marks (44% each), whereas Al Fateh's concessions are more evenly distributed: 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Given Al Fateh's low scoring rate and the not-so-high frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.38.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Al Shabab averages 6 corners per game over the last 5 matches, while Al Fateh averages 3.2. For over 9.5 corners, Al Shabab has surpassed the line in 3 out of 5, and Al Fateh in 2 out of 5. Considering the total corner averages of both teams amount to 9.2, close to the 9.5 line, both options are available: over 9.5 at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.80. Based on the corner statistics of both teams, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given that Al Shabab consistently delivers many corners and Al Fateh can also maintain the pace in this regard.