Prediction for match Asteras — AEK Athens, 24.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 24, in the Greek Super League, Asteras will face AEK Athens. According to the 1X2 odds, AEK Athens is the favorite with odds of 1.55 and a probability of 60.35%. A draw is priced at 3.88 with a probability of 24.11%, while a victory for Asteras stands at 6.02 with a probability of 15.54%. The main betting markets reflect a clear advantage for AEK Athens, which is also confirmed by the distribution of percentages for a win, draw, and Asteras success. This balance of power sets the tone for expectations from this match and forms the basis for further statistical analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Asteras has an average ball possession of 41.4%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. AEK Athens has higher possession at 56%, with an average of 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 3 offsides. In Asteras' last three matches: on January 11, OFI defeated Asteras 4-0, on December 20, Asteras lost to Aris 0-1, and on December 13, Asteras drew 0-0 with Kifisia. For AEK Athens: on January 18, they won 4-0 against Panathinaikos, on January 11, they drew 1-1 with Aris, and on December 21, they beat OFI 2-1. In their last head-to-head match on August 31, 2025, AEK Athens defeated Asteras 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Asteras has an average of 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2. AEK Athens averages 3.8 goals, scoring 3 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Asteras has 1 out of 5, while AEK Athens has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Asteras has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, and AEK Athens has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Asteras has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, and AEK Athens has 4 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Asteras most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), and concedes between the 16th-30th minutes (67%). AEK Athens scores most frequently between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each), with conceded goals distributed between the 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (22% each). Considering AEK Athens' high scoring rate, their consistent over 2.5 goals, and clear advantage in goals scored, a bet on Over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Asteras averages 5 corners per match, while AEK Athens averages 4.2. For over 9.5 corners, Asteras has 4 out of 5, and AEK Athens has 2 out of 5. Among the available lines for corners, the total closest to the average figures is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.24, under 9.5 at 1.53. AEK Athens is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.28. In this match, we can expect quite an active game in terms of corners, especially from Asteras, who consistently scores well in this aspect. It's also worth considering the over 9.5 corners total, given Asteras' frequency.