Prediction for match Auxerre — Nice

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre will face Nice in Ligue 1 on May 10th. The odds for an Auxerre win are 2.49, for a Nice victory 3.06, and for a draw 3.48. In terms of probabilities, Auxerre is rated at 39.54%, a draw at 28.29%, and Nice at 32.17%. Based on these figures, the bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, but Auxerre has a slight edge in the odds. The betting options for the main outcomes appear balanced, reflecting the percentage distribution between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Auxerre played as follows: 03.05.2026 - Auxerre vs Angers - 3-1, 25.04.2026 - Lyon vs Auxerre - 3-2, 19.04.2026 - Monaco vs Auxerre - 2-2. Nice's last three results are: 02.05.2026 - Nice vs Lens - 1-1, 26.04.2026 - Marseille vs Nice - 1-1, 22.04.2026 - Strasbourg vs Nice - 0-2. Looking at additional metrics, Auxerre's average possession percentage over five matches is 46.6, while Nice's is 39.4. Both teams average 1.6 yellow cards per game. Auxerre commits 14.4 fouls per match, Nice 10.6. For offsides, Auxerre averages 2, and Nice 2.8. The last head-to-head encounter was on 23.08.2025, ending with a 3-1 victory for Nice.

Goals Prediction for Auxerre vs Nice

In the last five matches, Auxerre surpassed the over 2.5 goals line three times, staying under twice. In contrast, all five of Nice's matches ended with under 2.5 goals. Auxerre's average goals per match over five games is 3, while Nice's is 1.6. Auxerre scores an average of 1.6 goals, Nice 1. Auxerre concedes an average of 1.4, Nice 0.6. In the first halves, Auxerre exceeded 1.5 goals three times out of five, while Nice never did. In the second halves, Auxerre had three over 1.5, and Nice also had three. Auxerre most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (44%), while Nice scores in three intervals: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (each 33%). Auxerre most often concedes early, at the end of the first half, and towards the match's end (each 29%), while Nice concedes in the second half (46-60 and 76-90, each 40%). The statistics indicate that Auxerre plays more high-scoring games, while Nice tends to have low-scoring matches, but given Auxerre's average figures and frequency of exceeding the over 2.5 goals line, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Auxerre averages 3.4 corners over five matches, and Nice 5. The over 9.5 corners total occurred twice in five games for both teams. Considering the corner total, the line closest to the sum of the average values (8.4) is 8.5. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.39, and for under 8.5, 2.75. Auxerre is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.65. Given that both teams average a fair number of corners, betting on over 8.5 corners seems logical. It is also worth noting that Auxerre earns corners more frequently, while Nice might increase activity in this aspect.