Prediction for match Le Havre — Marseille

Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Marseille

On May 10th, Le Havre will face Marseille in Ligue 1. According to the 1X2 odds, Marseille is the favorite to win, with odds of 2.08, while Le Havre is at 3.66, and a draw is at 3.81. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Le Havre win - 26.88%, draw - 25.82%, Marseille win - 47.30%. This suggests that Marseille has the upper hand, although a straightforward victory is not guaranteed.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Le Havre recorded the following results: 1-1 against Lille (03.05.2026), 4-4 against Metz (26.04.2026), 1-1 against Angers (18.04.2026), 1-1 against Nice (12.04.2026), and 1-1 against Auxerre (05.04.2026). During the same period, Marseille played as follows: 0-3 against Nantes (02.05.2026), 1-1 against Nice (26.04.2026), 0-2 against Lorient (18.04.2026), 3-1 against Metz (10.04.2026), and 1-2 against Monaco (05.04.2026). On average, over the five games, Le Havre had 48.8% possession, committed 15 fouls, received 2.2 yellow cards, and had 2.6 offsides per match. Marseille had higher possession at 57.6%, fewer fouls at 11, received 2.6 yellow cards, and had 1.6 offsides. Their last head-to-head match was on October 18, 2025, with Marseille winning 6-2.

Goal Scoring Trends

Le Havre's five-match series shows an average total of 3.2 goals per game, scoring and conceding 1.6 each. Marseille's matches average 2.8 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Le Havre had over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, while Marseille had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Le Havre had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, whereas Marseille had none. In the second half, Le Havre had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Marseille had 4 out of 5. Le Havre most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (38%) and concedes between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (38% each). Marseille scores most often between 46-60 minutes (55%) and concedes late in the game (76-90 minutes - 67%). The overall goal statistics suggest both teams are inclined to score, especially in the second half, with Marseille showing a tendency to score after the break. Therefore, a bet on both teams to score seems logical, considering both teams have defensive issues and scoring opportunities. Odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.56.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Le Havre averages 4 corners per match, while Marseille averages 7.2. In the last five games, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for both teams. The line for total corners closest to the average values is 9.5: with odds of 1.90 for over 9.5 and 1.84 for under. Marseille is the favorite in the corner market with odds of 1.57. Statistically, Marseille consistently outperforms their opponents in the number of corners, and the overall activity in this metric is high. Therefore, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners or Marseille's individual total corners for an additional option.