Prediction for match Monaco — Lille

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Ligue 1 on May 10, Monaco will face Lille. The odds for a Monaco win are 2.45, a Lille victory is priced at 2.85, and a draw is at 3.90. In terms of probability percentages, Monaco has a 40.20% chance, a draw is at 25.25%, and Lille is at 34.55%. These figures suggest that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, but Monaco has a slight edge in chances. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, with "Both teams to score: yes" at 1.50 and "no" at 2.45. Options for total goals: Over 2.5 is at 1.68, Over 2.25 is at 1.51, Over 2.75 is at 1.84, Over 3.0 is at 1.96. This indicates an expectation of a high-scoring match, but without a clear tilt towards one side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Monaco has an average possession of 59.6%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Lille also maintains 59.6% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. In their last three matches, Monaco: May 2nd Metz - Monaco 1-2, April 25th Toulouse - Monaco 2-2, April 19th Monaco - Auxerre 2-2. Lille: May 3rd Lille - Le Havre 1-1, April 26th Paris FC - Lille 0-1, April 18th Lille - Nice 0-0. In their head-to-head on August 24, 2025, Lille - Monaco ended 1-0. These results show that both teams are capable of picking up points in various conditions and have shown consistency in recent rounds.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Monaco - Lille Match

In the last five games, Monaco's matches have seen over 2.5 goals 5 times out of 5, while Lille's have seen it 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Monaco's matches is 3.8, while Lille's is 2. Both teams average 1.8 goals per game, but Monaco concedes 2, while Lille concedes only 0.2. By halves, Monaco had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and in the second half 4 times out of 5. Lille had over 1.5 goals in the first half only 1 time out of 5, and in the second half 2 times out of 5. The most frequent interval for goals scored by both teams is the 46-60 minute mark: Monaco 36%, Lille 40%. Monaco concedes more often in three different intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (25% each), while Lille concedes in the 16-30 and 46-60 intervals (33% each). Considering Monaco's high scoring, Lille's steady attack, and Monaco's frequent over 2.5 totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.68. Both teams have the potential to exchange goals, supported by their average scoring and frequent second-half goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Monaco averages 6 corners per match, while Lille averages 5. In the last 5 games, Monaco's corner total over 9.5 occurred 3 times, Lille's 2 times. The line closest to the average corner sum is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.99, under 9.5 is 1.76. For the outcome on corners, Monaco is at 2.05, Lille at 2.13. Considering both teams' activity in delivering corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially since Monaco consistently delivers more than 5 corners per game. Also, both teams are not prone to a high number of cards - Monaco 1.6, Lille 2 per match, which could affect the game's dynamics and the number of set pieces.