Prediction for match Benfica — Moreirense

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Moreirense on 25.04.2026, bookmakers are heavily favoring Benfica. The odds for a Benfica win are 1.12, with an 86.47% chance of success. A draw is priced at 10.20 with a 9.49% probability, while a Moreirense victory is at 24.00 and 4.04% respectively. The odds for over 3.5 goals are 2.17, and for "both teams to score: no" - 1.55. A draw in the first half is at 3.04, while Benfica leading at halftime is at 1.44. For first-half goals: over 1.5 is at 2.11, under 1.5 is at 1.68. In terms of corner outcomes, Benfica is also the favorite with odds of 1.06.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Benfica recorded these results: 19.04.2026 - Sporting Lisbon - Benfica - 1-2, 12.04.2026 - Benfica - Nacional - 2-0, 06.04.2026 - Casa Pia - Benfica - 1-1. In the same period, Moreirense played as follows: 20.04.2026 - Moreirense - Estoril - 1-0, 10.04.2026 - Famalicão - Moreirense - 1-1, 04.04.2026 - Moreirense - Braga - 0-1. In their head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Moreirense vs. Benfica ended 0-4. Over the last five matches, Benfica averages 57% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Moreirense averages 42.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Benfica scores an average of 2 goals per game and concedes 0.6, while Moreirense scores 0.4 and concedes 1.2. In previous matches, Benfica defeated Vitória Guimarães 3-0 and Arouca 2-1, while Moreirense lost to Arouca 0-1 and Porto 0-3.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Benfica vs. Moreirense Match

In their last five matches, Benfica has gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Moreirense has only gone over 2.5 goals once, with four matches under. On average, Benfica has 2.6 goals per game, Moreirense 1.6. For goals scored: Benfica - 2, Moreirense - 0.4. For goals conceded: Benfica - 0.6, Moreirense - 1.2. In the first half, Benfica went over 1.5 goals twice and under three times, Moreirense went over once and under four times. In the second half, Benfica went over 1.5 goals four times, Moreirense never. For goal intervals: Benfica and Moreirense most often score in the first 15 minutes (40% each), Benfica concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90, 40%), Moreirense in three different segments (0-15, 16-30, 61-75 - 33% each). Considering Moreirense's low scoring rate (0.4 goals per game, only one over 2.5 in five matches), and Benfica's solid defense (0.6 conceded), a bet on "both teams to score: no" at 1.55 seems logical. Benfica consistently scores two or more, but Moreirense has struggled to score in recent games, as confirmed by head-to-head results - in December it was 0-4, previously 3-0, and Moreirense failed to score in three of their last five matches against Benfica.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Benfica averages 10.8 corners per match, Moreirense 2.6. In the last five matches, Benfica had over 9.5 corners all five times, Moreirense three out of five. For corner totals: over 9.5 is at 2.01, under is at 1.70. Benfica is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.06. Given Benfica's high corner activity and frequent over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified for this match. Also, consider Benfica's individual corner total, given their average per match. Moreirense rarely exceeds three corners, as confirmed by their average and match totals.