Prediction for match Bologna — Cagliari

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on May 3, Bologna will face Cagliari. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Bologna to win at 1.88, a draw at 3.60, and a Cagliari victory at 4.86. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 52.38% for a Bologna win, 27.36% for a draw, and 20.26% for a Cagliari win. For the total goals, over 2.5 is at 2.22 and under 2.5 is at 1.77. Both teams to score: yes at 1.95, no at 1.78. Bologna's individual total over 1.5 is at 2.05, and Cagliari's over 0.5 is at 1.60. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.22, X2 at 2.02, and 12 at 1.34.

Team Results and Statistics

In recent matches, Bologna lost to Roma 0-2 (25.04.2026), Juventus 0-2 (19.04.2026), and Aston Villa 0-4 (16.04.2026). Cagliari, in their last three matches, beat Atalanta 3-2 (27.04.2026), lost to Inter 0-3 (17.04.2026), and won against Cremonese 1-0 (11.04.2026). In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Cagliari lost to Bologna 0-2. On average over 5 matches: Bologna has 56% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Cagliari has 38.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Bologna averages 2.8 goals per game, while Cagliari averages 2.6. Bologna scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2, whereas Cagliari scores 1 and concedes 1.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games for Bologna and 3 out of 5 for Cagliari. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times for Bologna and once for Cagliari, while in the second half it happened once for Bologna and twice for Cagliari. Bologna most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Cagliari is most likely to score between 46-60 minutes (44%). Bologna most frequently concedes between 31-45 minutes (40%), and Cagliari in the same interval (50%). Considering that Cagliari appears more stable in scoring and Bologna struggles offensively, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems logical. The averages and frequencies of totals support a cautious approach to betting on the under.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Bologna averages 4.4 corners per match, and Cagliari averages 4.2. Over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times in 5 matches for Bologna, and once for Cagliari. Among the odds for the total corners, the line at 8.5 stands out: over 8.5 is at 1.60, under 8.5 is at 2.19. Bologna is the favorite on corner outcomes at 1.33. In this match, considering the average figures for both teams and the not-so-high frequency of large totals, it's logical to consider a total corners bet around 8-9. It's also worth noting the individual corner stats for Bologna and Cagliari, where both teams rarely exceed 5-6 corners per game.