Prediction for match Bournemouth — Leeds

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Leeds

In the Premier League on April 22, Bournemouth will face Leeds. The odds for a Bournemouth win are 2.09, a draw is priced at 3.66, and a Leeds victory is at 3.78. In terms of winning probability, Bournemouth is at 47.08%, a draw at 26.89%, and Leeds at 26.03%. Based on these odds, Bournemouth appears slightly favored, but the margin is not significant. The over/under options are also quite balanced, with both teams to score priced at 1.61 for "yes" and 2.20 for "no". The double chance options are 1X at 1.31, X2 at 1.82, and 12 at 1.33. For total goals over 2.5, the odds are 1.81, and under 2.5 is at 2.15. This suggests that the bookmakers expect goals, but not an overly high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bournemouth has gained momentum with victories over Newcastle (2-1) and Arsenal (2-1), a draw with Manchester United (2-2), and two goalless draws with Burnley and Brentford. Leeds has also been successful in their last five games: a confident win over Wolverhampton (3-0), a victory against Manchester United (2-1), a high-scoring affair with West Ham (6-4), and two goalless draws with Brentford and Crystal Palace. Looking at the average stats over 5 matches, Bournemouth has 51.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Leeds has 48% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 27.09.2025, the teams drew 2-2, which confirms the potential for goals in this matchup.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, both teams have an average total of 2 goals per game. Bournemouth scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8, while Leeds scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 3 out of 5 matches over, and 2 under. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Bournemouth has only 1 out of 5, while Leeds has 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half, Bournemouth has 2 out of 5, and Leeds 1 out of 5. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring, but there is no sign of extreme scoring. In terms of goal intervals, Bournemouth most frequently scores and concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), while Leeds scores most often between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (40%). Given the average scoring, the over 2.5 goals trend for both, and not the highest average goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems logical. Both teams to score is also supported by the stats, but the odds for over 2.5 are higher and backed by frequency.

Corners in the Match

On average over 5 matches, Bournemouth wins 4.4 corners, Leeds 4.6, totaling 9. In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams exceeded the over 9.5 corners total. The line offers a total corners at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.62, under 9.5 at 2.16. Bournemouth is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.57. Considering the average total corners and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 line, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified. Also, Bournemouth's consistent performance in this area makes their win on corners worth considering.