Prediction for match Burnley — Manchester City

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League on April 22, Burnley will face Manchester City. The odds for the match outcomes clearly favor Manchester City: their victory is priced at 1.18 with a probability of 83.49%. A draw is at 9.05 (10.89%), while a Burnley win is at 17.50 (5.63%). This reflects not only the strength of Manchester City's squad but also their consistency in recent matches, where they have shown high scoring ability and confident play against opponents of various levels. Burnley, on the other hand, comes into the match after a series of poor results, which is also reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Burnley lost 1-4 to Nottingham Forest, 0-2 to Brighton, and 1-3 to Fulham. Meanwhile, Manchester City defeated Arsenal 2-1, thrashed Chelsea 3-0, and Liverpool 4-0. In terms of ball possession over the last five games, Burnley averages 44.8%, while Manchester City averages 58.2%. Burnley receives 1.6 yellow cards on average, compared to Manchester City's 1.2. Fouls are committed 10 times per match by Burnley and 8.8 by Manchester City. Offsides: 1 for Burnley against 0.8 for Manchester City. In their head-to-head on September 27, 2025, Manchester City defeated Burnley 5-1, underscoring the class difference between the teams. Over a five-match span, Burnley also lacks positive results, whereas Manchester City consistently earns points and demonstrates confident play.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Burnley - Manchester City Match

Based on average scoring in the last 5 games, Burnley has a total of 2.6 goals per match, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 2.2. Manchester City averages 3 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding just 0.6. In terms of over 2.5 total goals, Burnley has 2 out of 5, while Manchester City has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Burnley had no matches over 1.5 goals, whereas Manchester City had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Burnley recorded 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Manchester City 3 out of 5. Burnley most often scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (44%), while Manchester City scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Burnley is most vulnerable to conceding goals between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), and Manchester City between the 46th and 60th and 61st and 75th minutes (33% each). Considering Burnley's low scoring and Manchester City's strong defense, betting on both teams not to score seems logical. The odds for BTTS: No - 1.74.

Corners in the Match

Based on the average number of corners over 5 matches, Burnley has 5.2 and Manchester City 7.2. In a series of five games, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for both teams. Among the available totals for corners, the closest to the sum of average values (12.4) is the 12.0 line, but the closest presented pair is 11.0: total corners over 11 - 2.38, under 11 - 1.51. For the outcome based on corners, Manchester City is favored with odds of 1.12. Overall, both teams regularly take a lot of corners, especially Manchester City, which could lead to another successful over total. Betting on over 11 corners seems logical, given Manchester City's attacking style and Burnley's frequent set pieces.