Prediction for match Brentford — West Ham

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Premier League clash between Brentford and West Ham is set for May 2nd. According to the 1X2 odds, a Brentford win is priced at 2.00, a draw at 3.91, and a West Ham victory at 3.84. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Brentford - 49.20%, West Ham - 25.63%, draw - 25.17%. A Brentford win is considered the most likely outcome, but the gap between a draw and a West Ham win is minimal, indicating a potentially hard-fought contest. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.69, and for both teams to score, it's 1.54, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brentford's results were as follows: a 1-2 loss to Manchester United on April 27, a 0-0 draw with Fulham on April 18, a 2-2 draw with Everton on April 11, a 0-0 draw with Leeds on March 21, and a 2-2 draw with Wolverhampton on March 16. West Ham, in their last five, beat Everton 2-1 (April 25), drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace (April 20), thrashed Wolverhampton 4-0 (April 10), lost 4-6 to Leeds (April 5), and fell to Aston Villa 0-2 (March 22). In their latest head-to-head on March 9, the teams drew 2-2. Additional stats show Brentford with an average possession of 50%, 1 yellow card, 8.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. West Ham averages 46.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 3 offsides. These stats suggest a more aggressive style from West Ham and a balanced approach from Brentford.

Team Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Brentford averages 1 goal per game, concedes 1.2, with an overall scoring rate of 2.2 goals. West Ham shows higher attacking activity: 1.6 goals scored, 1 conceded, average total - 2.6. By halves, Brentford had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and only once in the second half. West Ham saw over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and none in the first half. Brentford often scores in the first 15 minutes (33%) and from 31 to 45 minutes (33%), while they concede mostly towards the end (76-90 minutes - 60%). West Ham frequently scores late (76-90 minutes - 40%) and concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Both teams tend to have high-scoring finishes, as shown by the frequent over 2.5 goals and late goals in the second half. Considering these data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.69 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Brentford averages 4.4 corners over five matches, and West Ham averages 4.6. Over five games, the over 9.5 corners mark was hit by Brentford twice and West Ham once. The line for corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.56, under 9.5 at 2.27. Brentford is favored in corner outcomes with odds at 1.58. Considering the teams' average stats and the infrequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners, a moderate corner total bet seems justified. West Ham commits more fouls and receives more yellow cards, which could lead to more set pieces and corners, but there's no clear trend towards a high corner total.