Prediction for match Newcastle — Brighton

Match Odds and Probabilities

On May 2, 2026, Newcastle will face Brighton in the English Premier League. The odds for a Newcastle win are 2.62, a draw is at 3.70, and a Brighton win is 2.75. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newcastle - 37.58%, draw - 26.61%, Brighton - 35.81%. Among the key bets, the option "Both Teams to Score: Yes" with odds of 1.53 stands out as an attractive choice for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Newcastle lost to Arsenal 0-1, Bournemouth 1-2, and Crystal Palace 1-2. Brighton, in their last three games, defeated Chelsea 3-0, drew with Tottenham 2-2, and beat Burnley 2-0. Over a five-match series, Newcastle averages 52.6% possession, records 2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Brighton shows 52.4% possession, 2 warnings, 12.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 18, 2025, Brighton was stronger than Newcastle with a 2-1 score.

How Many Goals in Newcastle vs Brighton Match

In the last five games, Newcastle scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 2.8, with a total average of 3.8 goals per match. Brighton, during the same period, scored 2, conceded 0.6, and had a total average of 2.6. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Newcastle has hit 4 out of 5, while Brighton has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Newcastle only exceeded 1.5 goals once, Brighton twice. In the second half, Newcastle has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Brighton 2 out of 5. Newcastle most often scores between 0-15 and 61-75 minutes (25% each), and concedes most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Brighton scores most often in the intervals of 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each), and concedes in the same intervals of 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each). Given that both teams score regularly and Newcastle's defense allows many goals, the bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Newcastle's average corner count over five matches is 3.4, while Brighton's is 3.8. In terms of over 9.5 corners, Newcastle has hit 1 out of 5, while Brighton has 5 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7.2) is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.18, under at 4.12. In corner outcomes, Newcastle is the favorite with odds of 1.67. Statistically, Brighton consistently hits high corner totals, which might be interesting for betting on higher values in this component.