Prediction for match Leeds — Burnley

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Leeds vs Burnley match in the English Premier League is scheduled for 01.05.2026. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Leeds win at 1.46, draw at 4.82, and Burnley victory at 8.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Leeds - 67.32%, draw - 20.39%, Burnley - 12.29%. Leeds is considered the favorite, but with odds below 1.50 for their win, it might be worth looking at goal totals and individual performances for betting.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leeds performed as follows: 26.04.2026 - Chelsea 1-0 Leeds, 22.04.2026 - Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds, 18.04.2026 - Leeds 3-0 Wolverhampton. Burnley's last three results were: 22.04.2026 - Burnley 0-1 Manchester City, 19.04.2026 - Nottingham Forest 4-1 Burnley, 11.04.2026 - Burnley 0-2 Brighton. In their head-to-head on 18.10.2025, Burnley defeated Leeds 2-0. Over a five-match span, Leeds has an average possession of 46.8%, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 0.2. Burnley has possession of 42.8%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 9.6, offsides - 1.4. These stats indicate Leeds commits more fouls, while Burnley is caught offside more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Leeds has scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.2, with a total match goal average of exactly 3. Burnley's averages are noticeably lower: 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded, totaling 2.4 goals per game. For over 2.5 goals, 4 out of 5 Leeds matches went over, while Burnley had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Leeds had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, while Burnley had none. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals. For goal intervals: Leeds most often scores between 76-90 minutes (44%), while Burnley scores between 61-75 (57%). Leeds concedes most often in two intervals: 16-30 and 61-75 (33% each), Burnley between 31-45 (40%). Considering Burnley's low scoring and Leeds' stable attacking performance, betting on Leeds' individual total over 1.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this bet are 1.51.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for Leeds over five matches is 3.8, while Burnley has 5. For over 9.5 corners, both teams had 4 out of 5 matches go over. Among the corner odds, the total of 9.5 stands out: over 9.5 is at 1.66, under at 2.09. Leeds is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.30. In this situation, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the high frequency of this total in recent matches for both teams. Also, individual corner totals can be considered, especially for Burnley, which consistently delivers more than 5 corners per game.