Prediction for match Casa Pia — Benfica

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Benfica

On April 6th, Casa Pia will face Benfica in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Bookmakers are heavily favoring Benfica: their win is priced at 1.26, a draw at 5.77, and a Casa Pia victory at 14.90. The outcome probabilities are as follows: Benfica - 76.75%, draw - 16.76%, Casa Pia - 6.49%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.51, and for "Both teams to score: No" - 1.64. Benfica's individual total over 2 is at 1.50, highlighting the attacking potential of the visitors. Bets on total over 3.5 and above are considerably riskier, and the odds for a draw or a Casa Pia win remain in double digits.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Casa Pia averaged 37.6% possession, with 2.6 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game. During the same period, Benfica showed 52.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and also 1 offside. Casa Pia's last three games: March 20, 2026 - Estrela vs Casa Pia 4-0, March 7, 2026 - Estoril vs Casa Pia 0-0, March 1, 2026 - Casa Pia vs Moreirense 1-1. Benfica's last games: March 21, 2026 - Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0, March 14, 2026 - Arouca vs Benfica 1-2, March 8, 2026 - Benfica vs Porto 2-2. In their last head-to-head on November 9, 2025, Benfica and Casa Pia drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Casa Pia played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. All five of Benfica's matches ended with over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in Casa Pia's matches is 2.6, while for Benfica, it's 3.2. Casa Pia scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 1.8, whereas Benfica scores 2 and concedes 1.2. In the first half, Casa Pia had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, and Benfica in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Casa Pia never went over 1.5, while Benfica did in 4 out of 5. Casa Pia most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (45%) and concedes evenly in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 (33% each). Benfica's goals are most frequent in four intervals: 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (22% each), with goals conceded mostly in the first 15 minutes and at the end of the first half (29% each). Given Benfica's consistent scoring and Casa Pia's average defensive record, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners Total Analysis

The average number of corners for Casa Pia over 5 matches is 3.2, and for Benfica, it's 7.4. In the last five matches, Casa Pia only exceeded 9.5 corners once, while Benfica did so four times. The closest line to the combined average (10.6) is 10.25: the odds for over 10.25 corners are 1.84, and under 10.25 is also 1.84. Benfica is the favorite to win the corners market with odds of 1.06. In this match, Benfica is expected to have a significant advantage in corners, and the total corners could surpass 10.