Prediction for match Chelsea — Port Vale

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

On April 4th, Chelsea will face Port Vale in the FA Cup. The odds heavily favor Chelsea as the clear favorite: Chelsea to win is at 1.07, a draw at 18.00, and a Port Vale victory at 44.00. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Chelsea - 92.27%, draw - 5.49%, Port Vale - 2.24%. This reflects the difference in class between the teams and the expectation of a confident result from Chelsea. Additionally, the odds for over 3.5 goals are at 1.54, indicating a high likelihood of a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chelsea averaged 57.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Port Vale trails in these metrics: possession 47.8%, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In the last three encounters, Chelsea lost to Everton 0-3 (21.03.2026), PSG 0-3 (17.03.2026), and Newcastle 0-1 (14.03.2026). Port Vale lost to Wycombe Wanderers 0-4 (28.03.2026), Doncaster 0-1 (24.03.2026), and won against Bolton Wanderers 1-0 (21.03.2026). Over a five-match series, Chelsea averages 6.6 corners, while Port Vale averages 2.2. Port Vale's higher number of yellow cards and fouls indicates a more aggressive style of play. In these matches, Chelsea showed a high percentage of possession, while Port Vale committed more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Chelsea vs. Port Vale

In a five-match series, Chelsea's average total goals per game is 4, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8. Port Vale's average total is 2.2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Over 5 games, Chelsea had over 2.5 goals in 4 matches, Port Vale in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Chelsea had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, Port Vale in none. In the second half, Chelsea had over 1.5 in 3 out of 5, Port Vale in 2 out of 5. Chelsea most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (40%), Port Vale also in the final phase (33%). Chelsea concedes most in the 0-15 and 16-30 minute intervals (25% each), Port Vale in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (50% each). Given Chelsea's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Port Vale's weak attack, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Chelsea averages 6.6 corners per match, Port Vale 2.2. In the last five matches, Chelsea had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games, Port Vale in 2 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 and under 9.5 corners are not specified, but statistically, considering a total around 9-10 corners is logical. Chelsea generally takes more corners, which might impact the overall number of set-pieces in the match. Given the difference in flank activity, Chelsea is expected to create more chances and earn more corners.