Prediction for match Queretaro — Leon

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Liga MX on February 7, Queretaro faces Leon. The odds for a Queretaro win are 2.51, for a Leon victory - 2.78, and a draw is at 3.12. The probability distribution is as follows: Queretaro - 36.94%, Leon - 33.35%, draw - 29.71%. These figures suggest that the bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, but Queretaro has a slight edge in terms of winning probability. The betting options for the main outcomes are quite close, which adds interest in exploring totals and additional markets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Queretaro has an average possession of 39.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. Leon appears slightly more active with 50.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Queretaro's recent matches: 02/01/2026 - Queretaro vs Pachuca - 0-0, 01/17/2026 - Guadalajara vs Queretaro - 2-1, 01/15/2026 - Queretaro vs Tijuana - 1-2. Leon's recent matches: 02/01/2026 - Leon vs Tigres UANL - 1-2, 01/18/2026 - UNAM Pumas vs Leon - 1-1, 01/14/2026 - Pachuca vs Leon - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on 08/30/2025, Leon defeated Queretaro 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding scoring, Queretaro averages 2.2 goals per game over their last five matches, while Leon averages 2.8. Queretaro scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2, whereas Leon scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. The over 2.5 total has hit 3 times out of 5 for Queretaro and 4 out of 5 for Leon. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for both teams, but in the second half, it happened 3 times out of 5 for each. Queretaro most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Leon scores between the 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Queretaro concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), and Leon in three different intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Considering both teams tend to have high-scoring second halves and have hit the over 2.5 total in 3 and 4 out of 5 matches, betting on over 2.5 goals is logical. The odds for this option are 1.97.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Queretaro earns 3.8 corners per match, while Leon earns 5, totaling 8.8. In a five-match series, Queretaro surpassed the over 9.5 corners total twice, and Leon did so three times. The total closest to the average is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.81, under at 1.93. For corner outcomes, Queretaro is at 2.00, Leon at 2.20. The statistics show both teams are capable of creating chances, especially Leon, so betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but with consideration of the average performance in this metric.