Prediction for match Corinthians — Santa Fe

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On April 16, Corinthians will face Santa Fe in the Copa Libertadores. The odds for a Corinthians win are 1.51, a draw is at 4.12, and a Santa Fe victory is valued at 7.34. The calculated probability for a Corinthians win is 63.60%, a draw is 23.31%, and a Santa Fe win is 13.08%. Corinthians are the favorites according to the odds and probabilities, which is supported by their recent performances where they have consistently picked up points. Santa Fe enters the game with significantly lower chances of success, but in recent matches, they have shown the ability to earn points even against tough opponents. In this matchup, bookmakers clearly lean towards a Brazilian victory, but it would be unwise to underestimate Santa Fe, considering their recent draws and wins.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Corinthians drew 0-0 with Palmeiras, won 2-0 against Platense, and lost 0-1 to Internacional. Santa Fe, in their last three games, drew 1-1 with Millonarios, 1-1 with Peñarol, and 2-2 with Deportes Tolima. Over the last five matches, Corinthians average 46.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Santa Fe averages 45.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. Corinthians average 5 corners per match, while Santa Fe averages 5.4. No recent head-to-head data is available, so current form is the focus. Santa Fe tends to receive slightly more cautions, while Corinthians commit more fouls, which could influence the game's dynamics, especially in the midfield battle. Overall, both teams come into the match in decent form, but Corinthians appear slightly more stable in terms of results.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Corinthians vs Santa Fe Match

In their last five matches, Corinthians have had over 2.5 goals occur once, and under 2.5 goals four times. For Santa Fe, there were two instances of over 2.5 goals and three of under. Corinthians average 1.8 goals per match, while Santa Fe averages 2.4. Corinthians score an average of 0.8 goals and concede 1, whereas Santa Fe scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. Both teams had two instances of over 1.5 goals in the first half in their last five matches. In the second half, Corinthians had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while Santa Fe had only 1 out of 5. Corinthians most frequently score between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), and Santa Fe in the same interval (40%). Corinthians tend to concede late (76-90, 40%), while Santa Fe concedes early in the second half (46-60, 43%). Overall, both teams are not particularly high-scoring, especially Corinthians, who average less than one goal per game. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.60 seems logical, considering the low over 2.5 goal occurrences and recent low scoring.

Analysis of Corners Totals

Corinthians average 5 corners per match, while Santa Fe averages 5.4. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 games. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is at 10.5 corners: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.20, under 10.5 at 1.55. Corinthians are favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.35. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 10.5 corners is risky but possible for those expecting high flank activity. Additionally, considering Corinthians' consistency in this aspect, betting on them to win the corner count could also be considered.