Prediction for match Fluminense — Independiente Rivadavia

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia

On April 16, in the Copa Libertadores, Fluminense will face off against Independiente Rivadavia. According to the 1X2 odds, Fluminense is the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.49, a draw is at 4.22, and a victory for Independiente Rivadavia is at 7.41. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 64.34% for a Fluminense win, 22.72% for a draw, and 12.94% for an Independiente Rivadavia win. This indicates a clear favorite, but the odds on totals and additional markets offer other betting options.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fluminense has shown 61% ball possession, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Independiente Rivadavia shows 42.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Fluminense played as follows: April 12 - Fluminense vs Flamengo - 1-2, April 7 - Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense - 0-0, April 4 - Coritiba vs Fluminense - 1-1. Over the same period, Independiente Rivadavia secured victories: April 11 - Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors - 3-1, April 7 - Independiente Rivadavia vs Bolivar - 1-0, April 2 - Tigre vs Independiente Rivadavia - 0-2. These results reflect a certain stability in both teams' recent performances, as well as discipline in defense and midfield.

Goals Statistics

Over the last five matches, Fluminense has averaged 2 goals per game, while Independiente Rivadavia has averaged 2.8. Fluminense scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8, Independiente Rivadavia scores 2.2 and concedes 0.6. Both teams have seen the over 2.5 goals market hit twice in their last five games, with the under occurring three times. By halves, Fluminense has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Independiente Rivadavia has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and none in the second. Fluminense scores 33% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minutes and the same percentage between the 76th and 90th minutes. Independiente Rivadavia most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). For goals conceded, Fluminense concedes 50% between the 76th and 90th minutes, while Independiente Rivadavia concedes 33% in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90. Overall, both teams' total goals profile is moderate, but Independiente Rivadavia shows higher attacking efficiency. Considering the average totals and frequency of overs, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.61 seems logical: both teams are capable of scoring, and Fluminense's defense is not flawless.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Fluminense averages 6.8 corners over five matches, while Independiente Rivadavia averages 4.2. For the over 9.5 corners market, Fluminense has hit the over in 3 out of 5 games, while all 5 of Independiente Rivadavia's games went under. The total closest to the average sum (11) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.90, under 10.5 at 1.33. In terms of corners, Fluminense is the favorite with odds of 1.23. The statistics suggest a clear advantage for Fluminense in corners, making it logical to consider a bet on their individual corners over 6.0 or total corners over 10.5, especially if an active game on the flanks is expected. It's also worth noting that Independiente Rivadavia rarely wins many corners, which could impact the overall total.