Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Pachuca

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On April 5th in Liga MX, Cruz Azul will face Pachuca. According to the 1X2 odds, Cruz Azul is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.71, translating to a 54.49% chance. A draw is offered at 3.90 (23.89%), while Pachuca's win is at 4.31, with a probability of 21.62%. This reflects Cruz Azul's advantage based on current form and recent results. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for bets tailored to the playing styles of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Cruz Azul has shown strong form in their last five matches: a 1-1 draw with Mazatlán (21.03.2026), a 1-1 draw with Monterrey (18.03.2026), a thrilling 2-2 draw with UNAM Pumas (15.03.2026), a 3-2 victory over Monterrey (11.03.2026), and a commanding 3-0 win against Atlético San Luis (07.03.2026). In the same period, Pachuca drew 1-1 with Toluca (22.03.2026), shared points with Atlético San Luis 1-1 (14.03.2026), defeated Puebla 2-1 (08.03.2026), won against Necaxa 2-1 (04.03.2026), and lost to Mazatlán 0-1 (28.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on September 13, 2025, Pachuca lost to Cruz Azul 0-1. On additional metrics, Cruz Azul holds possession for an average of 55.8% of the time, commits 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Pachuca maintains possession 51% of the time, receives 2.8 yellow cards, registers 16.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul averages a total of 3.2 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Pachuca averages a total of 2.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Cruz Azul has hit this mark 3 out of 5 times, while Pachuca has done so 2 out of 5 times. In the first half, Cruz Azul exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Pachuca once. In the second half, Cruz Azul exceeded 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, while Pachuca did so only once. The most common period for Cruz Azul to score is between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while for Pachuca, it's between the 31st and 45th minute (43%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding in the final minutes: Cruz Azul between the 76th and 90th minute (43%), Pachuca between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). Given Cruz Azul's attacking profile, frequent over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.71 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last 5 games, Cruz Azul averages 7 corners, and Pachuca 6.2. For over 9.5 corners, both teams have achieved this in 3 out of 5 games. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the overall average (13.2) is over 9.5: over is priced at 1.89, under at 1.85. For corner outcomes, Cruz Azul is favored with odds of 1.32. Considering the high average for corners and frequent over 9.5 results, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified.