Prediction for match Cusco — Atletico Grau

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Peruvian Primera División on May 23, 2026, Cusco will face Atletico Grau. According to the bookmakers, Cusco is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.63, a draw is at 3.90, and an Atletico Grau win is at 4.90. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Cusco - 57.12%, draw - 23.87%, Atletico Grau - 19%. This distribution of percentages and odds highlights Cusco as the most likely candidate for three points in this match. Options for totals and both teams to score have higher odds, but based on the balance of statistics and odds, the main choice is Cusco's victory.

Team Recent Matches Overview

Let's look at how the recent matches have unfolded for both teams. Cusco's last three matches were as follows: on 21.05.2026 - Cusco vs Independiente Medellin - 2-3, on 17.05.2026 - Sport Boys vs Cusco - 1-0, on 10.05.2026 - Cusco vs Cultural Santa Rosa - 1-1. Atletico Grau's recent three matches were: on 16.05.2026 - Universitario vs Atletico Grau - 0-1, on 09.05.2026 - Atletico Grau vs Cienciano - 1-2, on 02.05.2026 - ADT vs Atletico Grau - 1-0. In their last head-to-head match on 25.10.2025, Cusco and Atletico Grau played 1-0 in favor of Cusco. Over a five-match span, Cusco maintains 55% ball possession, records 1.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides on average per game. Atletico Grau lags in ball control (42%), receives 1.8 yellows, commits 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match.

Goals Statistics

Both teams show similar scoring figures: Cusco and Atletico Grau average 1.2 goals per game over the last five matches. Meanwhile, Cusco concedes 1.6, and Atletico Grau - 1. On average, Cusco's matches see 2.8 goals, while Atletico Grau's see 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of their last 5 matches end with three or more goals. In the first half, Cusco only once exceeded the over 1.5 goals, Atletico Grau - never. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals. Regarding goal intervals, Cusco most frequently scores between the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Atletico Grau distributes its goals evenly across all 15-minute intervals (17% each). Cusco most often concedes in the final stages (76-90 minutes - 43%), Atletico Grau - between 46-60 minutes (40%). Overall, despite not having the highest scoring rate, Cusco consistently creates chances and is capable of capitalizing on their advantage, which supports the bet on their victory.

Corner Bets

On average, Cusco earns 4.6 corners per game, Atletico Grau - 3.6. In a series of five matches, Cusco surpassed the over 9.5 corners line three times, while Atletico Grau didn't. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: the over 8.5 corners is priced at 2.03, under 8.5 - at 1.70. It makes the most sense to consider a bet on total corners around 8-9, considering the average values of both teams and Cusco's frequency of surpassing the line. It's also worth noting that Cusco earns more corners, which could influence the match dynamics.