Prediction for match Juan Pablo II College — FBC Melgar

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Juan Pablo II College and FBC Melgar in the Primera División (Peru) is scheduled for 22.05.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Melgar is favored to win: their victory is priced at 1.94, a draw at 3.38, and a win for Juan Pablo II College at 3.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Melgar - 47.97%, draw - 27.53%, Juan Pablo II College - 24.49%. Considering the difference in recent performance and defense between the teams, a victory for Melgar seems the most justified option.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Juan Pablo II College lost to Alianza Atlético 0-2 (16.05.2026), was defeated by Sport Huancayo 1-2 (10.05.2026), and was beaten by Universitario 1-4 (03.05.2026). During the same period, Melgar defeated Sport Huancayo 4-1 (16.05.2026), drew with Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 (10.05.2026), and won against UTC 2-0 (03.05.2026). Over the last five matches, Juan Pablo II College averaged 47.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Melgar averaged 55.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 3 offsides. In their last head-to-head match (05.08.2025), the teams drew 1-1, and the previous encounter (02.07.2025) also ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Juan Pablo II College went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Melgar had two overs and three unders on the 2.5 goal line. Juan Pablo II College's average goals scored and conceded per match is 3.2, with the team scoring 1 and conceding 2.2. Melgar's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. For Juan Pablo II College, three out of five matches had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and two in the second half. Melgar had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and twice in the second half over five matches. Juan Pablo II College most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%) and concedes just as often in this period (50%). Melgar is most effective from the 61st to the 75th minute (40%) and concedes evenly in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Given Melgar's stable scoring and Juan Pablo II College's weak defense, betting on Melgar's victory seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Juan Pablo II College averages 3.6 corners per match, while Melgar averages 4.4. In their last five games, Juan Pablo II College went over 9.5 corners four times, while Melgar did so only once. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.26, and under 9.5 is 1.55. Considering the average total corners for both teams (8), a cautious bet on under 9.5 corners is advisable, given Melgar's low frequency of exceeding the upper total. Neither side stands out for corner dominance, and the overall profile leans towards a moderate number of corner kicks.