Prediction for match Estrela — Famalicao

Odds and Probabilities of the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on 11.05.2026, Estrela will face Famalicão. According to the 1X2 odds, Famalicão is considered the favorite: a win for them is priced at 2.07, which corresponds to a 46.85% chance. A draw is priced at 3.62 (26.79%), while Estrela's success is valued at 3.68 (26.35%). Thus, analysts give the edge to Famalicão. Additionally, in the both teams to score market: yes is priced at 1.69, no at 2.05, reflecting moderate expectations for both teams' scoring abilities.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Estrela lost to Moreirense 2-3 (02.05.2026), was defeated by Porto 1-2 (26.04.2026), and lost to Arouca 0-1 (19.04.2026). During the same period, Famalicão drew with Benfica 2-2 (02.05.2026), beat Estoril 1-0 (26.04.2026), and drew with Braga 2-2 (19.04.2026). On average over the last five matches, Estrela had 42.6% possession, recorded 2.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Famalicão had higher possession at 48.8%, with 3.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. In their head-to-head on 27.12.2025, Famalicão lost to Estrela 2-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Estrela's average total goals per game is 2.4, while Famalicão's is 3. Estrela scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 1.8, whereas Famalicão scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. In the totals block, 2 out of 5 of Estrela's matches went over 2.5 goals, while for Famalicão it was 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had 2 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals, while in the second half, Estrela had only 1 out of 5, and Famalicão had 3 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals, Estrela most frequently scores between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Famalicão scores most often in the 76-90 minute interval (43%). Estrela concedes most often from the 31st to the 45th minute (40%), while Famalicão is most vulnerable from 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (25% each). Given this data, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.69 seems logical - Famalicão has consistent scoring, and Estrela can find the net despite a low average scoring rate.

Corners in the Match

On average over 5 matches, Estrela has 3.4 corners, and Famalicão has 5.4. In a series of five matches, 2 out of 5 of Estrela's games had over 9.5 total corners, while for Famalicão it was 3 out of 5. In the corners totals market, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 9.5: over 9.5 total corners is priced at 1.71, under 9.5 at 1.99. In the corners outcome, Famalicão is the favorite with odds of 1.61. Considering Famalicão's activity in delivering corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners or on Famalicão's advantage in the number of corners. Additionally, it's worth noting that both teams tend to have frequent corners, especially Famalicão, who consistently delivers more than 5 per game.