Prediction for match Gil Vicente — Arouca

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca is scheduled for 11.05.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Gil Vicente are the favorites with odds of 1.75 for their victory, a draw is priced at 3.90, and an Arouca win is at 4.93. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 55.44% for a Gil Vicente win, 24.88% for a draw, and 19.68% for an Arouca win. This setup suggests a significant advantage for Gil Vicente, which is also supported by the recent form of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Gil Vicente played as follows: 03.05.2026 Rio Ave - Gil Vicente 0-0, 27.04.2026 Gil Vicente - Casa Pia 2-1, 18.04.2026 Gil Vicente - Vitória Guimarães 0-1. Arouca's last three games were: 02.05.2026 Arouca - Santa Clara 2-2, 24.04.2026 Alverca - Arouca 2-1, 19.04.2026 Arouca - Estrela 1-0. In their head-to-head on 28.12.2025, Arouca and Gil Vicente drew 2-2. Over the last five matches, Gil Vicente had an average possession of 53.6%, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 10.4 fouls, and were caught offside 1.2 times per game. Arouca had 49.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. These numbers indicate a competitive game, with Gil Vicente having more possession.

How Many Goals in Gil Vicente vs Arouca Match

Both teams show similar scoring stats: over the last five matches, Gil Vicente averaged 2.2 goals per match, and Arouca averaged 2.8. Both teams score an average of 1.4 goals per game, but Gil Vicente concedes less with 0.8 compared to Arouca's 1.4. Regarding matches over 2.5 goals: Gil Vicente had 3 out of 5 games with three or more goals, and Arouca also had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for Gil Vicente and 2 out of 5 for Arouca. In the second half, Gil Vicente had only 1 out of 5 matches with more goals, while Arouca had 3 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Gil Vicente most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), while Arouca scores in the first 15 minutes (33%). Gil Vicente's goals conceded are evenly distributed across four intervals, each at 25%, while Arouca concedes most frequently at the beginning (33% in 0-15) and at the end (33% in 76-90). These data suggest both teams can score, but Gil Vicente's defense appears more reliable. Considering the average scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals, and both teams' attacking profiles, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Gil Vicente earns 5.6 corners per match, while Arouca earns 3.6. In the last five games, Gil Vicente had over 9.5 corners in 3 games, while Arouca only once. Looking at the odds, for a total of over 9.5 corners, the odds are 1.88, under 9.5 is at 1.80. Gil Vicente is favored in corner totals with odds of 1.42. Based on this data, it's logical to expect Gil Vicente to be more active on the flanks and to win more corners, with the total number of corners possibly approaching 10. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems interesting, considering both teams' average stats and Gil Vicente's frequent outcomes.