Prediction for match Feyenoord — Ajax

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On March 22, in the central Eredivisie match, Feyenoord will face Ajax. The odds for a Feyenoord win are 2.07, for Ajax's success - 3.34, and a draw is at 3.85. The probability of a Feyenoord victory is estimated at 46.35%, a draw at 24.92%, and Ajax's chances at 28.73%. The lowest odds among totals are on over 2.5 at 1.46, but a more intriguing bet is on over 2.75 at 1.57, which aligns with the attacking nature of both teams. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 1.44, no at 2.60, but considering the average scoring and frequency of total overpasses, it's preferable to look at the over 2.75 total.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Feyenoord played as follows: 15.03.2026 - Feyenoord vs Excelsior - 2-1, 08.03.2026 - NAC Breda vs Feyenoord - 3-3, 01.03.2026 - Twente vs Feyenoord - 2-0. Ajax in their last three encounters: 14.03.2026 - Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam - 4-0, 07.03.2026 - Groningen vs Ajax - 3-1, 01.03.2026 - Zwolle vs Ajax - 0-0. On average over five matches, Feyenoord has 56.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 9.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Ajax has 56.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Ajax defeated Feyenoord 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Feyenoord's average total goals are 3, with the team scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Ajax also has an average total of 3, scoring 2 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 total goals: both teams have 3 out of 5 matches, confirming a trend towards high-scoring games. In the first half, Feyenoord has 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Ajax has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Feyenoord recorded over 1.5 total in only 1 out of 5, Ajax in 2 out of 5. Feyenoord most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th (40%). Ajax has two scoring peaks: 0-15 and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while conceded goals are spread across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 (33% each). Given the average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 and 2.75 totals, and the attacking profile of both teams, the bet on over 2.75 total seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last five matches, Feyenoord averages 8.8 corners, Ajax 5.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corner totals: both teams have 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (14) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 2.04, under 10.5 at 1.90. In the corner outcome, the favorite is Feyenoord with odds of 1.36. Considering Feyenoord's high corner average, it's logical to consider over 10.5 total corners and Feyenoord's advantage in this aspect.