Prediction for match Hajduk Split — Varazdin

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Croatian league, Hajduk Split will face Varazdin on May 3. The odds for Hajduk to win are 1.50, a draw is at 4.20, and a Varazdin victory is priced at 5.94. The estimated probabilities are: 62.12% for a Hajduk win, 22.19% for a draw, and 15.69% for a Varazdin win. Hajduk Split is seen as the favorite, but the statistical difference between the teams isn't as significant as the odds suggest. The betting line also includes options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for an optimal betting strategy.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Hajduk Split played as follows: April 26, 2026 - Rijeka vs Hajduk Split - 0-0, April 21, 2026 - Hajduk Split vs Osijek - 0-1, April 17, 2026 - Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split - 2-2. During the same period, Varazdin had these results: April 26, 2026 - Dinamo Zagreb vs Varazdin - 2-1, April 22, 2026 - Varazdin vs Rijeka - 1-0, April 17, 2026 - Osijek vs Varazdin - 0-2. In their last head-to-head match on February 28, 2026, Varazdin and Hajduk Split ended 1-1. On average over the last five matches, Hajduk has 57.8% ball possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Varazdin has 42.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. These stats indicate that Hajduk prefers to control the ball, while Varazdin plays more pragmatically. In the last five matches, Hajduk scored 1.2 goals per game, Varazdin - 1.4. Both teams have conceded an average of 0.8 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Hajduk has an average total of 2.0 goals per match, while Varazdin has 2.2. Both teams have surpassed the 2.5 total in 2 out of 5 games, maintaining a balance between low and high-scoring games. In the first half, Hajduk exceeded 1.5 goals once out of five, while Varazdin did so three times. In the second half, Hajduk had three out of five over 1.5, Varazdin only one. In terms of scoring intervals, Hajduk most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (40%) and 76-90 (40%), while Varazdin scores most between 46-60 (33%) and 76-90 (33%). Hajduk concedes most often in the 46-60 interval (50%), Varazdin in the 31-45 (40%). Both teams are not highly prolific, with average goals over five matches: Hajduk - 1.2, Varazdin - 1.4. The balance of totals and frequency of outcomes suggests the match is unlikely to be highly prolific, but not entirely low-scoring either. In these conditions, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.53 seems the most logical: both teams are capable of scoring, and the goal passage is supported by average scoring and frequency of outcomes by halves.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, Hajduk Split takes 2.8 corners, Varazdin - 3.6, totaling 6.4 per game. For over 9.5 corners, Hajduk has 2 out of 5, Varazdin 3 out of 5. The line offers a couple of bets on total corners 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.05, under 9.5 at 1.69. Hajduk is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.20. Considering the average number of corners and frequency of outcomes, betting on under 9.5 corners seems slightly more reliable, but there is also a possibility of a slight advantage for the over line if the teams are active in the second half.