Prediction for match Istra 1961 — Slaven Belupo

Match Preview

The match between Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo in the HNL will take place on May 4, 2026. The odds for an Istra 1961 victory are 2.52, for a draw - 3.18, and for a Slaven Belupo win - 2.72. In terms of probability: Istra 1961 - 36.78%, draw - 29.15%, Slaven Belupo - 34.07%. The odds and probabilities suggest that the teams are quite evenly matched, making the outcome hard to predict. The 1X2 market offers similar appeal across options, so it's worth considering the over/under and goal markets. Additional odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.92, both teams to score: yes - 1.69, no - 2.05.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Istra 1961 failed to secure a victory, losing to HNK Gorica 0-1 (27.04.2026), Dinamo Zagreb 0-2 (22.04.2026), Vukovar 1-2 (18.04.2026), Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-2 (11.04.2026), and Hajduk Split 1-3 (7.04.2026). Slaven Belupo, in the same period, drew with Vukovar 2-2 (25.04.2026), lost to Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 (21.04.2026), drew 2-2 with Hajduk Split (17.04.2026), and lost to Varaždin 1-2 (12.04.2026) and Rijeka 0-2 (4.04.2026). Over the last five games, Istra 1961 has averaged 52% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Slaven Belupo has averaged 49.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head match was on 27.02.2026: Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 - 1-0.

Over/Under Statistics

The teams show noticeable differences in goal activity. Istra 1961's average total goals in their last five matches is 2.4, scoring just 0.4 goals per game and conceding 2. Slaven Belupo has a higher average total of 3.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2. For over 2.5 goals: Istra 1961 had 2 out of 5, Slaven Belupo 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Istra 1961 had 3 out of 5, Slaven Belupo 5 out of 5. In the second half for over 1.5 goals: Istra 1961 only 1 out of 5, Slaven Belupo 2 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals: Istra 1961 scores most frequently between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (40% each), and concedes in the same intervals and 46-60 (29% each). Slaven Belupo scores most often in the intervals 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each), and concedes in the first 15 minutes and 31-45 (38% each). Considering Slaven Belupo consistently scores and concedes, while Istra 1961 scores less but concedes often, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems justified. Both teams have a tendency for high-scoring first halves, and Slaven Belupo's overall profile supports the choice for the over.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In their last five matches, Istra 1961 has averaged 4.2 corners, Slaven Belupo - 3.4. For over 9.5 corners: Istra 1961 had 3 out of 5, Slaven Belupo had none. The most closely aligned total with the average sum (7.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is at 1.76, under 8.5 is at 1.96. A bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, considering Istra 1961's frequency of over 9.5 is 3 out of 5, while Slaven Belupo's corner stats are slightly lower. Slaven Belupo is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.98. Overall, one can expect 8-9 corners in this match, and a bet on the over total for corners seems justified.