Prediction for match Lokomotiva Zagreb — HNK Rijeka

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the HNL match between Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka on May 3, 2026, the bookmakers have set the odds as follows: Rijeka's win is at 2.17, Lokomotiva Zagreb's victory is at 3.22, and a draw is priced at 3.32. The probability estimates are: Rijeka - 42.96%, Lokomotiva Zagreb - 28.95%, draw - 28.08%. Rijeka is favored according to the odds and probabilities, but Lokomotiva Zagreb also has a fair chance of achieving a positive result. Interestingly, the gap between the teams isn't significant, adding intrigue to this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb recorded the following results: on April 25 - Osijek 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb, on April 21 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Slaven Belupo, on April 17 - HNK Gorica 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb. During the same period, Rijeka played as follows: on April 26 - Rijeka 0-0 Hajduk Split, on April 22 - Varaždin 1-0 Rijeka, on April 18 - Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka. On average in the last five games, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 51% possession, committed 13.8 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and received 2.4 yellow cards per match. Rijeka had a higher possession at 54.6%, with 12.8 fouls, 2 offsides, and 2 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on March 1, 2026, Rijeka defeated Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have an identical average goals per game of 1.8. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 0.4, while Rijeka scores 0.8 and concedes 1. Both teams have only once exceeded the over 2.5 goals mark in 5 matches, with under 2.5 occurring 4 times. In the first half, Lokomotiva Zagreb exceeded 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5, Rijeka 1 time out of 5. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals once. Goal intervals show Lokomotiva Zagreb most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (40% and 50% respectively), while Rijeka's goals are distributed across three segments - 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Rijeka concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%). Overall, the statistics indicate low scoring in recent matches, which is supported by the frequent under totals. This makes a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.84 a logical choice for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 4.8 corners per game, while Rijeka averages 8.6, totaling 13.4. In the last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb exceeded 9.5 corners once, Rijeka three times. Among the available corner totals, the 11.5 line is closest to the average sum: over 11.5 corners is at 3.38, under 11.5 at 1.23. You might also consider over 9.5 corners at 1.93 and under 9.5 at 1.78. Rijeka is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.66. We can expect an increased number of corners in this match, considering Rijeka's high average, but Lokomotiva Zagreb's frequency of exceeding high totals is low.