Prediction for match Inter — Parma

Match Analysis: Inter vs Parma

On May 3rd, Inter will face Parma in a Serie A clash. The odds for an Inter victory are 1.24, a draw is priced at 7.25, and a Parma win is at 13.80. In terms of probability, Inter has a 79.31% chance of winning, a draw is at 13.56%, and Parma has a 7.13% chance. Inter is clearly the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and recent match statistics. The total goals and both teams to score markets are also well-represented, but the main focus is on Inter's scoring prowess and Parma's recent low scoring record.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Inter played as follows: 26.04.2026 - Torino vs Inter - 2-2, 21.04.2026 - Inter vs Como - 3-2, 17.04.2026 - Inter vs Cagliari - 3-0. Parma's last three matches were: 25.04.2026 - Parma vs Pisa - 1-0, 18.04.2026 - Udinese vs Parma - 0-1, 12.04.2026 - Parma vs Napoli - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on January 7, 2026, Parma lost to Inter 0-2. Over the last five matches, Inter has an average possession of 54.8%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Parma averages 42.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. These stats indicate that Inter plays more actively and aggressively, while Parma is more restrained.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Inter has a strong over-profile: in their last 5 matches, they have gone over 2.5 goals 5 out of 5 times, with an average of 5.2 goals per match. Inter scores an average of 3.4 goals and concedes 1.8. Parma shows the opposite trend: 0 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 1.6 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding the same. By halves, Inter has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 matches and over 1.5 in the second half in 5 out of 5. Parma has no matches over 1.5 goals in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Regarding goal intervals, Inter scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (31%), while Parma also scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (67%). For goals conceded, Inter has three intervals at 30% (31-45, 46-60, 61-75), while Parma concedes 60% of their goals between 46-60 minutes. Given Inter's high scoring and Parma's low activity, a bet on both teams not to score seems logical, with odds at 1.71.

Corner Totals Analysis

Inter averages 5.2 corners over their last 5 matches, while Parma averages 4. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Inter has 4 out of 5 matches, and Parma has 2 out of 5. Looking at the total corners, the closest to the combined average (9.2) is the 9.5 line. For a total of 9.5 corners, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.82, under 9.5 - 1.92. Inter is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.10. Overall, considering Inter's activity in delivering corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified, and Inter's advantage in this aspect can also be considered.