Prediction for match Jagiellonia — Zaglebie Lubin

Match Analysis: Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin

The Ekstraklasa season continues with a clash between Jagiellonia and Zaglebie Lubin on May 23. According to the 1X2 odds, Jagiellonia is the favorite: a win for them is priced at 1.59, a draw at 4.10, and a victory for Zaglebie Lubin at 4.99. The probabilities are as follows: Jagiellonia 58.60%, draw 22.73%, Zaglebie Lubin 18.67%. This setup reflects Jagiellonia's advantage, which is also supported by the recent match statistics of both teams. There are various options for total goals: over 2.5 is at 1.66, both teams to score: yes - 1.69, no - 2.05. For individual team totals: Jagiellonia over 1.5 is at 1.60, Zaglebie Lubin over 0.5 - 1.47. For the first half, over 1 is at 1.63, and for the second half, over 1.5 is at 1.88.

Team Results and Statistics

Jagiellonia has shown confident results in their last three matches: on 17.05.2026, GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia 2-2, on 13.05.2026, Rakow - Jagiellonia 0-2, on 09.05.2026, Jagiellonia - Pogon Szczecin 3-2. Zaglebie Lubin's last three matches were: on 15.05.2026, Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin 0-1, on 09.05.2026, Gornik Zabrze - Zaglebie Lubin 0-2, on 03.05.2026, Zaglebie Lubin - Cracovia 0-0. On average over five matches, Jagiellonia has 53.8% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Zaglebie Lubin has 35.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Jagiellonia plays high-scoring football: over a five-match series, the average number of goals in their games is 3.4, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Zaglebie Lubin's average total over 5 games is 1.4, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Jagiellonia has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Zaglebie Lubin has only 1 out of 5 over. In the first half, Jagiellonia has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Zaglebie Lubin has none over 1.5. In the second half, Jagiellonia has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Zaglebie Lubin 2 out of 5. In terms of goal timing, Jagiellonia most often scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes most often between 31-45 (36%). Zaglebie Lubin scores most often between 16-30 (100%), and concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 (40% each). Considering Jagiellonia's high scoring and Zaglebie Lubin's low productivity, as well as frequent over 2.5 hits for the favorite, a bet on under 3.25 at 1.50 seems optimal: Jagiellonia is capable of scoring 2-3 goals, but Zaglebie Lubin has rarely been prolific in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On corners, Jagiellonia averages 5.8 per game, Zaglebie Lubin - 4.2. Over a five-match series, Jagiellonia has 2 out of 5 over 9.5, Zaglebie Lubin 4 out of 5 over 9.5. The line offers a total corners of 9.5: over is at 1.98, under is at 1.78. Jagiellonia is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.74. Considering average values and frequency of overs, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems logical, especially since both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners. Jagiellonia regularly delivers at least 5 corners, while Zaglebie Lubin in several matches also reaches 4-5 deliveries.