Prediction for match Lech Poznan — Wisla Plock

Odds and probabilities of match outcomes

In the Ekstraklasa on May 23, Lech Poznan will face Wisla Plock. According to the 1X2 odds, Lech Poznan is the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.28, implying a 72.75% chance of success. A draw is valued at 5.65 (16.48%), while a win for Wisla Plock is at 8.65 (10.77%). In the goal totals market, the odds for over 2.75 goals are 1.47, while both teams to score: yes is at 1.72, and no is at 2.01. For individual totals, Lech Poznan to score over 2 goals is at 1.50, and Wisla Plock to score over 1 is at 2.85. These odds suggest a high-scoring game with Lech Poznan having the upper hand.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Lech Poznan has an average possession of 56.8%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Wisla Plock falls behind in these stats: 47.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their most recent three matches, Lech Poznan defeated Radomiak Radom 3-1 (16.05.2026), drew 1-1 with Arka Gdynia (08.05.2026), and beat Motor Lublin 1-0 (02.05.2026). Wisla Plock lost to Gornik Zabrze 0-1 (16.05.2026), fell to Motor Lublin 0-4 (10.05.2026), and was defeated by Pogon Szczecin 0-3 (03.05.2026). Their last head-to-head meeting ended in a 0-0 draw on 30.11.2025.

How many goals to expect?

In the last 5 matches, both teams have seen 3 out of 5 games go over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. Lech Poznan averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Wisla Plock scores 0.6 and concedes 2. Lech Poznan's average total goals are 2.8, and Wisla Plock's are 2.6. By halves, Lech Poznan has 2 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves, while Wisla Plock has 2 in the first half and 3 in the second. Lech Poznan most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), while Wisla Plock scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Lech Poznan distributes them evenly across three intervals (16-30, 31-45, 46-60 - 29% each), while Wisla Plock concedes more between the 31st and 45th and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each). This profile indicates a clear attacking advantage for Lech Poznan and a high likelihood of a high-scoring match. Considering the odds for over 2.75 goals at 1.47 and both teams to score: yes at 1.72, a logical choice is Lech Poznan's individual total over 2 goals at 1.50, as they consistently score more than two goals, and Wisla Plock concedes a lot.

Analysis of corner totals

Both teams have an identical average of 7 corners per game in their last five matches. In the last 5 matches, Lech Poznan has exceeded the total corners over 9.5 three times, while Wisla Plock has done so four times. Although there is no odds pair for over and under 9.5 corners, both teams consistently deliver around 7 corners each, making a bet on the over a logical choice. Overall, based on corner statistics, one should expect at least 10-12 corners in the match, with Lech Poznan likely having the edge in activity, given their attacking profile and high possession percentage. Additionally, both teams rarely commit offsides - averaging no more than 1.6 per game, and Lech Poznan receives fewer yellow cards than Wisla Plock. Considering these factors, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.