Prediction for match Legia Warszawa — Motor Lublin

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Ekstraklasa on May 23, Legia Warszawa will face Motor Lublin. According to bookmakers, Legia Warszawa is the favorite: odds for their victory are set at 1.50, while a draw is at 4.33, and Motor Lublin's win is at 5.69. The probability of Legia winning is 62.11%, with a draw at 21.52%, and Motor's victory at 16.37%. This setup reflects Legia's advantage in key metrics and their status in the championship. Expectations for the match's outcome clearly favor the team from Warsaw, as confirmed by both the odds and probability percentages.

Teams' Results and Statistics

Legia Warszawa has shown consistency in their last five matches: they defeated Lechia Gdańsk (2-1), Nieciecza (1-0), and Widzew Łódź (1-0) in their last three games. Meanwhile, Motor Lublin played a high-scoring draw with Cracovia (3-3), thrashed Wisła Płock (4-0), and lost to Lech Poznań (0-1) in their last three outings. On average over five matches, Legia holds 47.4% possession, commits 14 fouls, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and records 1.2 offsides per game. Motor Lublin shows a higher possession percentage at 55.6%, commits 12.8 fouls, receives 1.8 yellows, and records 1.6 offsides. The last head-to-head encounter on December 1, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. These figures indicate that both teams are capable of controlling the ball and do not shy away from intense competition.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin Match

In the last five matches, Legia Warszawa played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Motor Lublin went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. The average number of goals in Legia's matches is exactly 2, and for Motor, it's 3.6. Legia scores 1 goal per game on average, while Motor scores 1.8. Both teams concede evenly: Legia - 1, Motor - 1.8. In the first half, Legia went over 1.5 goals once in 5 matches, Motor 3 times. In the second half, Legia and Motor went over 1.5 goals only once and twice, respectively. Legia most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), and Motor also in this period (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Legia has three equal intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minutes (each 33%), while Motor concedes most in the 76-90 minutes (30%). Considering Motor's average scoring and Legia's more reserved profile, along with Motor's frequent overs on 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.61 seems logical. Expect at least three goals, especially given Motor's attacking style and Legia's defensive stability.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

On average, Legia Warszawa earns 4.6 corners per match, while Motor Lublin earns 4.8. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Legia and four times for Motor. Considering the total corners, the sum of the teams' averages is 9.4. Among the available totals, the line closest is 9.5, with bets available for both outcomes: total corners over 9.5 is at 2.18, under 9.5 at 1.66. Statistically, Motor often reaches high corner counts, while Legia does so less frequently, which might lean towards a bet on the higher total. Overall, expect at least 9-10 corners in the match, especially if the game leans towards an attacking approach by both teams.