Prediction for match Larisa — Aris, 18.01.2026

Match Analysis: Larisa vs Aris

In the Greek Super League on January 18, Larisa will face Aris. Bookmakers have Aris as the favorite, offering odds of 2.15 for their victory, 3.04 for a draw, and 3.66 for Larisa's win. The probability percentages for the main outcomes are: Larisa - 25.60%, draw - 30.82%, Aris - 43.58%. These figures highlight Aris's advantage, but the high odds for a draw indicate a potentially tight contest. Based on the odds and percentages, Aris's victory seems the most likely outcome, but Larisa still has a fighting chance.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Larisa has averaged 3.6 yellow cards, committed 15 fouls, and been caught offside 3 times per game, with 32.8% possession. Aris performs better in these aspects: 3 yellow cards, 13 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 45% possession. Larisa's last three matches were: Kifisia 1-1 Larisa on January 10, Larisa 0-0 Atromitos on December 21, and Levadiakos 3-0 Larisa on December 13. Aris's recent games were: Aris 1-1 AEK Athens on January 11, Asteras 0-1 Aris on December 20, and Aris 0-0 Olympiacos on December 14. In their last head-to-head on November 29, Aris defeated Larisa 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Larisa's average total goals per match is 2.4, while Aris's is 2. Larisa scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6, while Aris scores 1 and concedes 1. Larisa has gone over 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Aris has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Larisa went over 1.5 goals once, and Aris twice, while in the second half, Larisa did so four times, and Aris once. Larisa most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Aris scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Larisa concedes evenly across the intervals 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), while Aris concedes throughout the first half and the end (25% each). Overall, both teams tend towards low-scoring games: neither averages over 2.4 goals, with Aris having only 2 out of 5 over 2.5, and Larisa 3 out of 5. Given Larisa's weak attack (0.8) and Aris's stronger defense (1 conceded), betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems logical, considering Aris's recent low-scoring matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

Larisa averages 2.2 corners per match, while Aris averages 4.4. In their last five games, Larisa has gone over 9.5 corners once, and Aris twice. The most likely corner total close to their average (6.6) is 7.5: odds for over 7.5 are 1.47, and under 1.45. Also, for a total of 8.5: over 8.5 is 1.86, under 1.82. Aris is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.76. Statistics show both teams rarely hit high corner counts, so betting on under 8.5 corners seems justified. Aris consistently takes more corners, which is supported by the odds for a corners win.