Prediction for match Larisa — Panathinaikos

Match Analysis: Larisa vs Panathinaikos

In the Greek Super League on December 7, Larisa will face Panathinaikos. According to the 1X2 odds, Panathinaikos is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.48, a draw at 4.10, and a win for Larisa at 6.76. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Larisa - 13.86%, draw - 22.85%, Panathinaikos - 63.29%. This setup reflects the significant advantage Panathinaikos has in current form and recent match results. High activity from Panathinaikos is expected in this match, supported by their scoring statistics and average goal difference in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary statistics, Larisa has an average ball possession of 48.4% over the last 5 matches, with 3.4 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Panathinaikos has slightly lower possession at 45.8%, with 3.4 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Larisa lost to Aris 1-2 (29.11.2025), fell to OFI 1-2 (24.11.2025), and suffered a heavy defeat to Panetolikos 0-3 (8.11.2025). Panathinaikos lost to AEK Athens 2-3 (30.11.2025), defeated Sturm Graz 2-1 (27.11.2025), and thrashed Panserraikos 3-0 (23.11.2025). The last head-to-head meeting between these teams was on January 10, 2021, when Panathinaikos defeated Larisa 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Panathinaikos significantly outperforms Larisa: their average goals scored over the last 5 matches is 2, compared to Larisa's 0.8. The average total goals in Larisa's matches during this period is 2.6, while Panathinaikos's is 3. For matches exceeding 2.5 goals, Larisa has 3 out of 5, and Panathinaikos has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded twice for Larisa and three times for Panathinaikos. Both teams have 2 instances of over 1.5 goals in the second half out of 5. Larisa most frequently scores in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Panathinaikos scores most often in the 16-30 minute interval (43%). Larisa concedes most frequently in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each). Panathinaikos concedes most often in the 31-45 minute interval (30%). Considering Panathinaikos's high scoring potential, regular over 2.5 goal matches, and the difference in attacking power, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems reasonable.

Corners in the Match

Regarding the average number of corners over 5 matches, Larisa has 3.4, and Panathinaikos has 5. The frequency of matches with over 9.5 corners is 1 out of 5 for Larisa and 2 out of 5 for Panathinaikos. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to their average total (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.84, and under 8.5 is also at 1.84. Panathinaikos is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.29. A moderate number of corners can be expected in this match, with a slight edge in activity for Panathinaikos, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified based on recent game statistics.