Prediction for match Lens — Nice

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Coupe de France on May 22, Lens faces Nice. The 1X2 odds show Lens winning at 1.56, a draw at 4.60, and Nice winning at 6.29. Looking at the probability percentages, Lens has 63.01%, a draw is at 21.37%, and Nice is at 15.63%. Thus, Lens is the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, with a significant gap between the teams. This is reflected in the chosen prediction, where a bet on Lens is placed with the minimum acceptable odds for the main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lens has an average possession of 52.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per game. Nice has 41.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Lens played as follows: May 17, 2026, Lyon - Lens 0-4, May 13, 2026, Lens - PSG 0-2, May 8, 2026, Lens - Nantes 1-0. Nice's last three matches were: May 17, 2026, Nice - Metz 0-0, May 10, 2026, Auxerre - Nice 2-1, May 2, 2026, Nice - Lens 1-1. In their most recent head-to-head on May 2, 2026, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over five matches, Lens averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Nice scores 1 and concedes 0.8. Lens has an average total goals per match of 3, while Nice has 1.8. In a five-game span, Lens had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches and under in 3. Nice had over 2.5 goals once and under 4 times. By halves, Lens had over 1.5 in the first half twice, under 3 times, and the same in the second half. Nice had over 1.5 in the first half once and was more active in the second half with 3 times over 1.5. Lens scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (40%), and Nice between 61-75 minutes (50%). Lens concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (30%), while Nice concedes between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (both 40%). Overall, Lens appears to be the more prolific team, supported by their average scoring and frequency of over totals, which backs the prediction for a Lens win as they consistently score more than Nice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Lens averages 7.2 corners per match, Nice 5.4. In a five-match series, Lens had over 9.5 total corners 3 times, Nice 4 times. Among available corner totals, the closest to their combined average (12.6) is the 12.5 line, but odds are only available up to 11.5. Considering the nearest total, both teams had over 9.5 corners at least 3 times in their last five games. Overall, both teams can create chances and earn corners, especially Lens, who consistently exceeds 7 corners per match. Based on corner stats, it's logical to consider the over 9.5 total, given Lens's attacking style and Nice's decent figures in this aspect.