Prediction for match Lillestrom — Sarpsborg 08

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08 on May 3, 2026, bookmakers favor Lillestrom. The odds for a Lillestrom victory are set at 1.69 with a probability of 56.50%. Both a draw and a win for Sarpsborg 08 are rated at 4.39, corresponding to a 21.75% probability for each outcome. There are various options for total goals: over 2.75 is offered at 1.53, both teams to score: yes - 1.48, no - 2.47. For individual team totals, Lillestrom over 1.5 goals is at 1.52, while Sarpsborg 08 over 1.5 is at 2.61. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.21, X2 - 2.17, 12 - 1.21. Thus, the line clearly highlights Lillestrom as the favorite, but total goals are also a focal point.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lillestrom recorded the following results: April 26, 2026 - Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt - 0-2, April 19, 2026 - Valerenga vs Lillestrom - 0-2, April 15, 2026 - Tromso vs Lillestrom - 0-0. During the same period, Sarpsborg 08 played as follows: April 26, 2026 - KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 - 1-0, April 19, 2026 - Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromso - 0-1, April 15, 2026 - Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodo/Glimt - 1-1. The last head-to-head encounter between the teams was on December 6, 2025: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 - 3-1. In secondary statistics over a five-match span, Lillestrom averaged 49.4% possession, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 8.8 fouls, and recorded 0.6 offsides per game. Sarpsborg 08 averaged 47.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 9 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. These figures indicate a slight advantage for Lillestrom in discipline and ball control, but the differences in fouls and offsides are minimal.

How Many Goals in Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08

Based on the last five matches, both teams have shown low scoring potential: Lillestrom's average goals per match is 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Sarpsborg 08 similarly averages 1.8 goals, but scores only 0.6 and concedes 1.2. Over the five-match period, over 2.5 goals occurred only once for each team, while under 2.5 was recorded four times. In terms of halves, Lillestrom had only 1 match out of 5 with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Sarpsborg 08 had 2 out of 5 in the first half over, and none in the second half over 1.5. Lillestrom most often scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute marks (33% each), while Sarpsborg 08 scores in the 31-45 minute interval (80%). Lillestrom concedes most frequently at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%), while Sarpsborg 08 distributes their conceded goals evenly across all intervals (20% each). Given the low scoring potential of both teams, rare occurrences of over 2.5 goals, and average scoring figures, betting on under 2.5 goals at 2.51 seems a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Lillestrom averages 4.2 corners per match, Sarpsborg 08 averages 5.2. Over a five-match period, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for each team. The line for corners highlights a total of 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.41, under 9.5 - 2.56. Lillestrom is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.51. Considering both teams regularly produce around 9-10 corners combined, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but a bet on under 9.5 at 2.56 might interest risk-takers. Overall, based on recent match dynamics, corner activity is expected, especially from Sarpsborg 08, who slightly more frequently earns corners.