Prediction for match Sandefjord — Aalesund

Match Analysis: Sandefjord vs Aalesund

On May 3rd, Sandefjord will face Aalesund in the Eliteserien. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Sandefjord is priced at 1.79, a draw at 4.10, and a victory for Aalesund at 4.08. Based on probabilities, which are 53.32% for Sandefjord, 23.28% for a draw, and 23.39% for Aalesund, Sandefjord holds the advantage. However, the gap between a draw and an Aalesund win is minimal, adding intrigue to the encounter. Meanwhile, the odds for over 2.75 goals are 1.55, indicating that bookmakers expect a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sandefjord lost 1-3 to Tromsø on April 26, drew 0-0 with Rosenborg on April 18, and defeated Brann 1-0 on April 12. During the same period, Aalesund drew 1-1 with Kristiansund on April 26, lost 0-3 to Bodø/Glimt on April 18, and drew 2-2 with KFUM Oslo on April 12. Over a five-match series, Sandefjord averages 51.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Aalesund averages 46% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 6, 2023, Aalesund was defeated by Sandefjord 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Sandefjord shows an average total of 2 goals, while Aalesund averages 3.2. In terms of goals scored: Sandefjord has 0.8, Aalesund 1.2. Sandefjord concedes 1.2, Aalesund 2. For over 2.5 goals: Sandefjord has 2 out of 5, Aalesund 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Sandefjord 3 times, Aalesund 2. In the second half, Sandefjord only once out of 5, while Aalesund had all 5 games with goals after the break. For goal intervals: Sandefjord most often scores between 16-30 minutes (75%), and Aalesund in the final stretch, from 76 to 90 minutes (30%). For goals conceded: Sandefjord is most vulnerable between 16-30 minutes (50%), Aalesund from 61 to 75 (43%). Considering Aalesund consistently plays over in the second half, and Sandefjord's lack of high scoring, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.55 seems logical. Given Aalesund's higher average total goals per match and both teams' tendency to go over 2.5, expecting at least three goals is reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Sandefjord averages 5.2 corners, Aalesund 4.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Sandefjord is 5 out of 5, Aalesund 4 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (9.6) is the line at 9.5: for over 9.5, odds are 1.43, under 2.50. For corners, Sandefjord is the favorite with odds of 1.90. Based on statistics, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical as both teams regularly deliver many corners and often surpass this threshold in a five-game series. Additionally, Sandefjord has no matches with under 9.5 total corners in their five-match series, which further strengthens the argument for an over bet on corners.