Prediction for match Start — Tromso

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Eliteserien clash between Start and Tromsø will take place on May 3rd. Bookmakers have clearly marked Tromsø as the favorite, offering odds of 1.74 for their victory, 3.99 for a draw, and 4.50 for a Start win. The outcome probabilities are assessed as: Tromsø - 54.86%, draw - 23.92%, Start - 21.21%. This setup indicates a significant advantage for Tromsø, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution. It is expected that Tromsø will dominate the game, creating more scoring opportunities against their opponent.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Start has an average ball possession of 39.8%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 14, offsides - 1.4. Tromsø, on the other hand, has 54.6% possession, 1 yellow card, 11.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Start's last three matches: 30.04.2026 Bodø/Glimt vs Start 5-0, 26.04.2026 HamKam vs Start 2-1, 19.04.2026 Start vs Molde 1-1. Tromsø's recent games: 29.04.2026 Tromsø vs Brann 0-5, 26.04.2026 Tromsø vs Sandefjord 3-1, 19.04.2026 Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsø 0-1. The last head-to-head was on 12.03.2023: Start vs Tromsø 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Start averages 3.2 goals per game, while Tromsø averages 2.4. Goals scored: Start - 0.8, Tromsø - 1.2; goals conceded: Start - 2.4, Tromsø - 1.2. Over 5 games, Start had over 2.5 goals three times, under twice; Tromsø had over 2.5 goals twice, under three times. In the first half, Start had over 1.5 goals three out of five times, Tromsø - twice. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals three times out of five. Interval-wise: Start scores most often in the final minutes (76-90, 38%) and concedes evenly across four segments from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% in each). Tromsø is most productive in the 16-30 and 46-60 minute intervals (40% each) and concedes most frequently between the 46th and 60th minute (43%). Considering both teams' average scoring, Start's frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and Tromsø's regular scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.74 seems logical in this matchup.

Betting on Corners

Start averages 2.8 corners per match, while Tromsø averages 6.8. In the last five games, Start only once exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, while Tromsø did so three times. The line for total corners closest to the average sum (2.8 + 6.8 = 9.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.70, under 9.5 at 2.01. Tromsø is considered the favorite for corners with odds of 1.90. Based on the statistics, it's reasonable to expect Tromsø to earn more corners, and the overall total could approach 10. In this match, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given Tromsø's activity in this aspect.