Prediction for match Marseille — Nice

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Nice

In Ligue 1 on April 26, Marseille will face Nice. Bookmakers have confidently marked Marseille as the favorite: Marseille's victory is priced at 1.54, a draw at 5.03, and Nice's success at 6.05. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Marseille - 64.07%, draw - 19.62%, Nice - 16.31%. These numbers confirm that Marseille has a significant advantage in the odds, and they are expected to dominate the match. An important factor is that Marseille shows a higher ball possession percentage - 55 compared to Nice's 37.2, which could influence game control.

Team Results and Statistics

Marseille's last three matches were: April 18, 2026, Lorient - Marseille 2-0, April 10, 2026, Marseille - Metz 3-1, April 5, 2026, Monaco - Marseille 2-1. During the same period, Nice showed the following results: April 22, 2026, Strasbourg - Nice 0-2, April 18, 2026, Lille - Nice 0-0, April 12, 2026, Nice - Le Havre 1-1. On average over the last five matches, Marseille had 7.4 corners, 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides, while Nice had 5.6 corners, 1.2 yellows, 12.6 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. In terms of ball possession, Marseille is also ahead: 55% compared to Nice's 37.2%. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 21, 2025, Nice - Marseille ended with a score of 1-5 in favor of Marseille.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over a five-match span, Marseille has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Nice has an average total of 2.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Marseille has 3 out of 5, Nice has 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams tend to play under: Marseille has 0 out of 5 for over 1.5, Nice has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Marseille recorded over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Nice in 2 out of 5. Marseille most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while Nice scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). For goals conceded, 50% of Marseille's goals come in the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes, while Nice concedes 50% during 76-90. The overall trend is that Marseille consistently scores, and Nice concedes more, supporting the choice of a bet on both teams to score: yes. The odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.55, no - 2.32. Considering the average scoring of both teams, over 2.5 goals, and the distribution of goals by half, a bet on both teams to score: yes seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Marseille takes 7.4 corners per match, Nice - 5.6. In the last five games, Marseille exceeded the total of over 9.5 corners three times, Nice twice. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (13) is 9.5: the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. For the outcome on corners, Marseille is the favorite with odds of 1.26. Overall, both teams tend to play actively on the wings, as evidenced by high corner averages. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the frequency of occurrences and the playing style of both teams.