Prediction for match Mirassol — LDU de Quito

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs LDU de Quito

In the Copa Libertadores on May 7, Mirassol will face LDU de Quito. According to the 1X2 odds, Mirassol is the favorite with odds of 1.58, a draw is offered at 3.98, and an LDU de Quito victory is valued at 6.43. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.88% for Mirassol's success, 24.17% for a draw, and 14.96% for an LDU de Quito victory. This setup reflects Mirassol's advantage in attacking metrics and stability in recent matches, as well as a higher scoring rate compared to their opponent.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirassol has an average possession of 39.8%, with 3.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. LDU de Quito shows 45.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three games, Mirassol defeated Corinthians 2-1 (03.05.2026), confidently handled Always Ready 2-0 (29.04.2026), and lost to São Paulo 0-1 (26.04.2026). During the same period, LDU de Quito beat Guayaquil City FC 1-0 (02.05.2026), lost to Lanús 0-1 (28.04.2026), and fell to Emelec 0-1 (25.04.2026). In their last head-to-head meeting on April 15, LDU de Quito defeated Mirassol 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Mirassol played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while LDU de Quito went under 2.5 goals in all five matches. The average number of goals in Mirassol's matches is 2.2, while LDU de Quito's is exactly 1. In terms of scoring, Mirassol averages 1.4 goals per game, while LDU de Quito manages only 0.6. In terms of conceding, Mirassol allows 0.8 goals, and LDU de Quito 0.4. In the first half, Mirassol exceeded 1.5 goals three times out of five, whereas LDU de Quito did so once. Neither team exceeded 1.5 goals in the second half in any of the last five games. Regarding goal intervals, Mirassol most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). LDU de Quito distributes its goals evenly across four intervals, 25% each, but concedes most often early (0-15 minutes, 50%) and just after the break (46-60 minutes, 50%). This profile suggests Mirassol's attacking advantage and LDU de Quito's low scoring, making a bet on Mirassol's victory a logical option.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Mirassol takes 3.4 corners per match, while LDU de Quito takes 3.8. In their last five matches, Mirassol exceeded the 9.5 total corners line twice, and LDU de Quito did so three times. Considering the total corners, the closest line to the average sum (7.2) is 9.5, where both outcome options are available. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.44, and for under 9.5, they are 1.58. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a cautious bet on under 9.5 total corners, given the average figures for both teams. Additional statistical parameters do not highlight either team for corners, as confirmed by their recent match averages.