Prediction for match Monaco — PSG, 17.02.2026

Match Analysis: Monaco vs PSG

In the Champions League, Monaco faces PSG, and the odds indicate a clear advantage for PSG. A win for PSG is priced at 1.58, a draw at 4.68, and a Monaco victory at 5.99. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 62.45% for PSG, 21.08% for a draw, and 16.47% for Monaco. These figures reflect analysts' confidence in PSG's strength, although Monaco has recently shown they can compete against strong opponents. The betting lines also feature markets for totals and both teams to score, highlighting the attacking potential of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Monaco maintains 50.8% possession in their last five matches, averaging 2.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. PSG shows high ball control with 65.8%, and averages just 0.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1 offside per match. Monaco's last three results: 3-1 against Nantes (13.02.2026), 0-0 with Nice (08.02.2026), and 1-3 against Strasbourg (05.02.2026). PSG's recent matches: 1-3 against Rennes (13.02.2026), 5-0 against Marseille (08.02.2026), and 2-1 against Strasbourg (01.02.2026). The last head-to-head was on 29.11.2025: Monaco 1-0 PSG.

Goal Statistics

In their last five matches, Monaco averages a total of 2.4 goals, while PSG averages 3. Monaco scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8 goals per game, PSG scores 2 and concedes 1. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Monaco had over 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, while PSG had 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. For goal intervals: Monaco most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (30% each), and concedes between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (50% each). PSG scores most often between the 61st-75th minutes (33%), and concedes late (76th-90th minutes, 40%). These stats indicate the attacking potential of both teams and a tendency for high-scoring matches. The line for over 2.75 goals is set at 1.59, and both teams to score is also at 1.59, which is supported by the frequency of overs and average stats. A bet on over 2.75 goals seems logical, considering both teams regularly score and have a high goal profile.

Corner Totals Analysis

Monaco averages 5.8 corners, PSG 6.2 per match. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 games. The line for total corners is set at 11.5, with odds of 2.19 for over 11.5 and 1.64 for under 11.5. PSG is favored in corner markets with odds of 2.06. Given the averages and frequency of overs, a bet on over 11.5 corners seems justified with expected attacking activity from both teams. A bet on PSG to win the corner count is also worth considering, given their high average.