Prediction for match Monza — Palermo

Match Analysis: Monza vs Palermo

In Serie B on March 14, Monza will face Palermo. The odds for the outcome are: Monza win at 2.19, draw at 3.20, and Palermo win at 3.34. The probabilities for 1X2 are distributed as follows: Monza 42.73%, draw 29.25%, Palermo 28.02%. Based on these figures, Monza is the favorite, but the gap is not significant, and the odds for totals and both teams to score are also quite close. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.76, no is at 1.96, indicating an expectation of goals from both sides. For total goals: Over 2.5 is at 2.01, and Under 2.5 is at 1.77, reflecting a balance between the attacking potential of both teams and the caution of the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

Monza's last three matches were: against Spezia on March 7 (2-4), against Cesena on March 3 (3-1), and against Virtus Entella on February 27 (2-0). Palermo in their last three encounters won against Carrarese 1-0 (March 8), beat Mantova 2-1 (March 4), and lost to Pescara 1-2 (March 1). In a five-match series, Monza averages 52.6% possession, commits 1.8 offsides, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and commits 13.4 fouls per game. Palermo over the same period has 45.6% possession, 2.4 offsides, 1.4 yellows, and 14 fouls. In their last head-to-head on October 28, 2025, Palermo lost to Monza 0-3, while on July 20, 2024, Monza lost to Palermo 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Monza scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 1.2 over five matches, while Palermo scores 2 and concedes only 0.6. The average total goals in Monza's matches is 3.2, and for Palermo, it's 2.6. In a five-game series, Monza exceeded a total of 2.5 goals three times and stayed below twice. Palermo exceeded a total of 2.5 goals four times, with only one low-scoring match. Per halves, Monza had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Palermo had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second. By intervals: Monza most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%) and concedes in the first 30 minutes (29% in each of the two intervals). Palermo most often scores between 31-60 minutes (30%) and concedes in three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). Both teams regularly score, and Palermo has a solid defense. The overall goal profile and over 2.5 goals in 7 out of the last 10 games make a bet on both teams to score (yes) a logical choice, especially considering the odds of 1.76.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monza averages 3.4 corners per match, Palermo 5.2. In a five-match series, Monza had 2 out of 5 matches with a total of corners over 9.5, while Palermo had 4 out of 5 over 9.5. For corner totals, the odds are: over 9.5 at 1.88, under 9.5 at 1.80. This value is closest to the sum of both teams' average corners (8.6). Monza is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.64. Statistically, both teams can expect 8-10 corners per match, and Palermo often exceeds the 9.5 mark. It makes sense to consider the option of total corners over 9.5, given the frequency of occurrences for both sides.