Prediction for match Napoli — Bologna

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on May 11, 2026, Napoli will face Bologna. According to the 1X2 odds, Napoli is the favorite with odds of 1.58, a draw is priced at 4.34, and a Bologna win is at 6.64. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Napoli 62.42%, draw 22.72%, Bologna 14.85%. This setup reflects Napoli's advantage in odds and percentages, which is also confirmed by the recent match statistics of both teams. Overall, bookmakers expect Napoli to control the game and have the highest chances of winning.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli averaged 58.8% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Bologna has 57.4% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides. Napoli's last three matches were: 02.05.2026 - Como 0-0 Napoli, 24.04.2026 - Napoli 4-0 Cremonese, 18.04.2026 - Napoli 0-2 Lazio. Bologna's last three games were: 03.05.2026 - Bologna 0-0 Cagliari, 25.04.2026 - Bologna 0-2 Roma, 19.04.2026 - Juventus 2-0 Bologna. The last head-to-head meeting was on 22.12.2025, ending in a 2-0 win for Napoli.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Napoli has an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded, with a total of 1.8 goals per match. Bologna, over the same period, scores an average of 0.4, concedes 1.6, with a total of 2 goals in their matches. In 5 games, both teams have only once exceeded a total of 2.5 goals, while in other cases, the total was under 2.5. In the first half, both teams exceeded a total of 1.5 goals twice in five matches, while in the second half, Napoli did so only once, and Bologna never. Napoli most frequently scores in the intervals of 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Bologna scores most often between 16-30 minutes (44%). In terms of goals conceded, half of Napoli's goals occur between 46-60 minutes, and Bologna concedes 50% of their goals between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes. Overall, both teams show low scoring and an under-profile on totals, so a bet on under 2.5 goals seems most justified based on current statistics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Napoli averages 6 corners per match, Bologna 5. In their last five matches, both teams had a total of over 9.5 corners twice and under 9.5 corners three times. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages (11) is 10.5. According to the odds: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.77, under 10.5 at 1.39. For the outcome on corners, Napoli is the favorite with odds of 1.44. Given the average figures for both teams, a bet on over 10.5 corners might be interesting, but the frequency of this line occurring does not exceed 2 out of 5 in recent matches.