Prediction for match Palmeiras — Sporting Cristal

Match Preview

In the Copa Libertadores on April 16, Palmeiras will face Sporting Cristal. The odds for a Palmeiras win are 1.17, a draw is at 8.00, and a Sporting Cristal victory is at 16.00. According to probabilities, Palmeiras is rated at 82.01%, a draw at 11.99%, and a Sporting Cristal win at 6.00%. This setup reflects a significant advantage for Palmeiras in this matchup, which is also confirmed by the statistics from recent meetings between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Palmeiras has shown 52.4% ball possession, averages 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Sporting Cristal, during the same period, maintains 65.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In the last three encounters, Palmeiras played as follows: April 12 - Corinthians vs Palmeiras 0-0, April 9 - Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras 1-1, April 5 - Bahia vs Palmeiras 1-2. Sporting Cristal's last three matches: April 9 - Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño 1-0, April 3 - Sporting Cristal vs UKV Moquegua 1-2, March 21 - Cultural Santa Rosa vs Sporting Cristal 3-2. In the last head-to-head match on May 29, 2025, Palmeiras thrashed Sporting Cristal 6-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Palmeiras scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6, with an overall average total of 1.8. Sporting Cristal has an average total of 3 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Palmeiras has 2 out of 5, while Sporting Cristal has 4 out of 5. By halves, Palmeiras never had more than 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half for over 1.5. Sporting Cristal has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. In terms of intervals, Palmeiras most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute segments (25% each), while they concede most often in the 46-60 minute interval (40%). Sporting Cristal scores 44% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minute, and they concede most frequently in the first 15 minutes (33%). Given the average scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals for Sporting Cristal, and the tendency for goals in the second half, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.60 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal average 6.4 corners per game over five matches. For over 9.5 corners, Palmeiras has 4 out of 5, while Sporting Cristal has 3 out of 5. The line for this match has over 9.5 corners at 1.73, under 9.5 at 2.00. With such statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified, considering both teams' consistent performance in this aspect. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly deliver 6 or more corners, supporting the idea of high activity from flank players and attacking lines.