Prediction for match PAOK — AEK Athens

Match Analysis: PAOK vs AEK Athens

On February 15, 2026, a Greek Super League clash will take place between PAOK and AEK Athens. The odds for a PAOK victory are 2.17, while both a draw and a win for AEK Athens are priced at 3.30. The probabilities are distributed as follows: PAOK win - 43.19%, draw - 28.40%, AEK Athens win - 28.40%. Based on these numbers, bookmakers give a slight edge to PAOK, but AEK Athens is seen as a serious contender.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PAOK averaged 53% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. AEK Athens, on the other hand, had slightly higher possession at 56%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, PAOK played as follows: 08.02.2026 - Aris vs PAOK - 0-0, 01.02.2026 - PAOK vs Panserraikos - 4-1, 29.01.2026 - Lyon vs PAOK - 4-2. AEK Athens' last three matches were: 08.02.2026 - Panserraikos vs AEK Athens - 0-4, 01.02.2026 - AEK Athens vs Olympiacos - 1-1, 24.01.2026 - Asteras vs AEK Athens - 0-1. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, AEK Athens lost to PAOK 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PAOK's five-match series shows an average total of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1 goal per game. AEK Athens is also productive, with 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, totaling 2.6. Over 2.5 goals were seen in 3 of PAOK's 5 matches, and in 2 of AEK Athens'. In the first half, PAOK recorded over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches, AEK Athens in only 1 of 5. In the second half, 2 of PAOK's matches were high scoring (over 1.5), while AEK Athens had 3 of 5. PAOK tends to score late (76-90 minutes, 29%), while AEK Athens is most dangerous early (0-15 minutes, 33%) and right after the break (46-60 minutes, 33%). PAOK concedes most often in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), whereas AEK Athens concedes mainly at the end (76-90 minutes, 57%). Both teams display an attacking style, and the average scoring rates support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95. PAOK consistently scores, and although AEK Athens concedes little, they attack vigorously, increasing the chances of three or more goals in the match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

PAOK averaged 4.6 corners over the last five games, while AEK Athens averaged 5.2. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners: only 1 of PAOK's 5 matches exceeded this, compared to 2 of AEK Athens'. The closest total to the average is 9.5, with outcomes: over 9.5 corners at 2.18, under 9.5 at 1.56. PAOK is favored in corner bets with odds at 1.76. Given both teams' average corner activity, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical, especially if the match is played at a high tempo.