Prediction for match Puebla — Queretaro

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on April 25, Puebla will face Queretaro. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Puebla's win is at 2.38, a draw is priced at 3.44, and Queretaro's victory is at 2.72. In terms of probabilities: Puebla has a 38.96% chance, Queretaro 34.09%, and a draw 26.95%. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is at 1.63, while the opposite outcome is at 2.14. For total goals, the lines closest to average scoring are: over 2.5 goals at 1.81, under 2.5 goals at 1.95. It's also worth noting that Queretaro's individual total over 1 is at 1.59, and the same for Puebla is at 1.46.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Puebla lost to Monterrey 1-2 (22.04.2026), was defeated by Guadalajara 0-5 (19.04.2026), and lost at home to Leon 0-1 (11.04.2026). During the same period, Queretaro drew 1-1 with Cruz Azul (22.04.2026), also drew 1-1 with Mazatlan (18.04.2026), and won against Necaxa 3-1 (11.04.2026). In their head-to-head on October 4, 2025, Queretaro was stronger than Puebla with a 3-1 scoreline. In additional metrics over the last five games: Puebla's average ball possession is 47.6%, Queretaro's is 32%. Yellow cards: Puebla receives 1.6, Queretaro 1.2. Fouls: Puebla 12, Queretaro 10. Offsides: Puebla 0.6, Queretaro 3.4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Puebla's average total goals per match is 2.8, Queretaro's is 2.2. Puebla averages 0.6 goals scored and concedes 2.2, while Queretaro scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Puebla has 3 out of 5 matches over, Queretaro only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Puebla 2 out of 5, Queretaro 3 out of 5. In the second halves: Puebla 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, Queretaro 2 out of 5. In the distribution of goals by minutes, Puebla most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (30%), Queretaro between 76-90 (43%). For goals conceded: Puebla most often concedes between 61-75 (50%), Queretaro evenly across four intervals (25% each). Considering that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses in attack and defense, and taking into account the totals and average scoring, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.63 seems justified. Puebla regularly concedes, and Queretaro consistently scores, while Puebla also has chances to find the net.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Puebla averages 4.4 corners per match, Queretaro 5.2. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 was recorded for both teams 3 times out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the closest to the sum of the averages is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.66, under 9.5 is at 2.09. For the outcome on corners, Puebla is the favorite with odds of 1.93. Given that both teams frequently take corners and the average values are quite high, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems logical. Individual stats can also be considered: Puebla consistently delivers more than 4, and Queretaro more than 5 per game.